Liestøl Knut, Tretli Steinar, Tverdal Aage, Maehlen Jan
Department of Informatics and Centre for Cancer Biomedicine, University of Oslo, and Department of Pathology, Ullevål University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Int J Epidemiol. 2009 Apr;38(2):427-34. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyn347.
From 1948 to 1975, Norway had a mandatory tuberculosis (TB) screening programme with Pirquet testing, X-ray examinations and BCG vaccination. Electronic data registration in 1963-75 enabled the current study aimed at revealing (i) the relations between socioeconomic factors and tuberculosis infection and (ii) differences in later all-cause mortality according to TB infection status.
TB screening data were linked to information from the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry (1975-98) and the National Population and Housing Censuses (1960, 1970 and 1980). Analyses were done for 10 years cohorts born 1910-49, separately for men (approximately 534,000 individuals) and women (608,000), using logistic and Cox regressions.
TB infection and X-ray data confirmed the strong regional pattern seen for TB mortality, with the highest rates in the three northernmost counties and higher rates in urban than rural areas. High socioeconomic status relates to lower odds both for TB infection and TB-related chest X-ray findings (odds ratios 0.6-0.7 for highest vs lowest educational groups). Those infected by TB, and especially those with chest X-ray findings, have increased all-cause mortality in at least a 20 years period following determination of tuberculin status (hazard ratios approximately 1.15 and 1.30, respectively, higher for late than early cohorts).
TB particularly affected lower socioeconomic strata, but even those in higher strata were at high risk. The differences in all-cause mortality could partly be attributed to socioeconomic factors, but we hypothesize that developing TB infection may also indicate biological frailness.
1948年至1975年期间,挪威实施了一项强制性结核病筛查计划,包括结核菌素试验、X光检查和卡介苗接种。1963年至1975年的电子数据登记使得当前这项研究得以开展,其目的在于揭示:(i)社会经济因素与结核感染之间的关系;(ii)根据结核感染状况,后期全因死亡率的差异。
结核病筛查数据与来自挪威死亡原因登记处(1975年至1998年)以及全国人口和住房普查(1960年、1970年和1980年)的信息相链接。对1910年至1949年出生的10年队列进行分析,分别针对男性(约53.4万人)和女性(60.8万人),采用逻辑回归和Cox回归分析。
结核感染和X光数据证实了结核病死亡率呈现出的强烈区域模式,最北部的三个县发病率最高,城市发病率高于农村地区。高社会经济地位与较低的结核感染几率以及与结核相关的胸部X光检查结果几率均相关(最高教育组与最低教育组的比值比为0.6至0.7)。那些感染结核的人,尤其是那些有胸部X光检查结果的人,在确定结核菌素状态后的至少20年期间全因死亡率增加(风险比分别约为1.15和1.30,后期队列高于早期队列)。
结核病尤其影响社会经济地位较低的阶层,但即使是较高阶层的人也面临高风险。全因死亡率的差异部分可归因于社会经济因素,但我们推测发生结核感染也可能表明存在生物学脆弱性。