Wang Hansheng, Li Runze, Tsai Chih-Ling
Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing, China, 100871
Biometrika. 2007 Aug 1;94(3):553-568. doi: 10.1093/biomet/asm053.
The penalised least squares approach with smoothly clipped absolute deviation penalty has been consistently demonstrated to be an attractive regression shrinkage and selection method. It not only automatically and consistently selects the important variables, but also produces estimators which are as efficient as the oracle estimator. However, these attractive features depend on appropriately choosing the tuning parameter. We show that the commonly used the generalised crossvalidation cannot select the tuning parameter satisfactorily, with a nonignorable overfitting effect in the resulting model. In addition, we propose a bic tuning parameter selector, which is shown to be able to identify the true model consistently. Simulation studies are presented to support theoretical findings, and an empirical example is given to illustrate its use in the Female Labor Supply data.
带有平滑截断绝对偏差惩罚的惩罚最小二乘法一直被证明是一种有吸引力的回归收缩和选择方法。它不仅能自动且一致地选择重要变量,还能产生与神谕估计器一样高效的估计量。然而,这些吸引人的特性依赖于适当选择调谐参数。我们表明,常用的广义交叉验证不能令人满意地选择调谐参数,在所得模型中会产生不可忽视的过拟合效应。此外,我们提出了一种贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)调谐参数选择器,它被证明能够一致地识别真实模型。给出了模拟研究以支持理论结果,并给出了一个实证例子来说明其在女性劳动力供给数据中的应用。