First myocardial infarction: 5-year survival predicted from routine clinical, laboratory, and radionuclide findings during the acute stage.

Five-year survival amongst 485 consecutive patients with their first acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was 78.2%. Univariate survival analysis showed that the following variables during the acute stage were of prognostic significance for survival: signs of left ventricular heart failure, enlarged cardiac volume, pulmonary congestion on chest X-ray, anterior myocardial infarction on ECG, and low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), whereas enzyme analysis and Q/non-Q signs on ECG were not. In the multivariate analysis two equivalent models were found. The first pinpointed age and LVEF as independent predictors of mortality, and the second age and left ventricular heart failure. Finally, our subcohort of patients aged less than the mean 63 years and with normal LVEF values of greater than or equal to 50%, or no left ventricular failure had an observed survival for 5 years close to an age- and sex-matched group from the Norwegian population.