Helman Ruth, Copeland Craig, VanDerhei Jack
Mathew Greenwald & Associates, Washington, DC, USA.
EBRI Issue Brief. 2009 Apr(328):1-23.
Workers who say they are very confident about having enough money for a comfortable retirement this year hit the lowest level in 2009 (13 percent) since the Retirement Confidence Survey started asking the question in 1993, continuing a two-year decline. Retirees also posted a new low in confidence about having a financially secure retirement, with only 20 percent now saying they are very confident (down from 41 percent in 2007). THE ECONOMY, INFLATION, COST OF LIVING ARE THE BIG CONCERNS: Not surprisingly, workers overall who have lost confidence over the past year about affording a comfortable retirement most often cite the recent economic uncertainty, inflation, and the cost of living as primary factors. In addition, certain negative experiences, such as job loss or a pay cut, loss of retirement savings, or an increase in debt, almost always contribute to loss of confidence among those who experience them. RETIREMENT EXPECTATIONS DELAYED: Workers apparently expect to work longer because of the economic downturn: 28 percent of workers in the 2009 RCS say the age at which they expect to retire has changed in the past year. Of those, the vast majority (89 percent) say that they have postponed retirement with the intention of increasing their financial security. Nevertheless, the median (mid-point) worker expects to retire at age 65, with 21 percent planning to push on into their 70s. The median retiree actually retired at age 62, and 47 percent of retirees say they retired sooner than planned. WORKING IN RETIREMENT: More workers are also planning to supplement their income in retirement by working for pay. The percentage of workers planning to work after they retire has increased to 72 percent in 2009 (up from 66 percent in 2007). This compares with 34 percent of retirees who report they actually worked for pay at some time during their retirement. GREATER WORRY ABOUT BASIC AND HEALTH EXPENSES: Workers who say they very confident in having enough money to take care of basic expenses in retirement dropped to 25 percent in 2009 (down from 40 percent in 2007), while only 13 percent feel very confident about having enough to pay for medical expenses (down from 20 percent in 2007. Among retirees, only a quarter (25 percent, down from 41 percent in 2007) feel very confident about covering their health expenses. HOW WORKERS ARE RESPONDING: Among workers who have lost confidence in their ability to secure a comfortable retirement, most (81 percent) say they have reduced their expenses, while others are changing the way they invest their money (43 percent), working more hours or a second job (38 percent), saving more money (25 percent), and seeking advice from a financial professional (25 percent). Among all workers, 75 percent say they and/or their spouse have saved money for retirement, one of the highest levels ever measured by the RCS. IGNORANCE STILL A MAJOR FACTOR: Many workers still do not have a good idea of how much they need to save for retirement. Only 44 percent of workers report they and/or their spouse have tried to calculate how much money they will need to have saved by the time they retire--and an equal proportion (44 percent) simply guess at how much they will need for a comfortable retirement.
自1993年退休信心调查开始询问该问题以来,称对今年有足够资金安享舒适退休生活非常有信心的员工比例在2009年降至最低水平(13%),且已连续两年下降。退休人员对财务安全的退休生活的信心也创下新低,如今只有20%的人表示非常有信心(低于2007年的41%)。经济、通货膨胀、生活成本是主要担忧因素:不出所料,过去一年对能否安享舒适退休生活失去信心的员工,大多将近期的经济不确定性、通货膨胀和生活成本列为主要因素。此外,某些负面经历,如失业或减薪、退休储蓄损失或债务增加,几乎总会导致经历这些的人信心丧失。退休预期推迟:由于经济衰退,员工显然预期工作更长时间:2009年退休信心调查中有28%的员工表示,他们预期退休的年龄在过去一年发生了变化。其中,绝大多数(89%)表示他们推迟退休是为了增强财务保障。尽管如此,员工的退休年龄中位数预期为65岁,21%的人计划工作到70多岁。退休人员的退休年龄中位数实际为62岁,47%的退休人员表示他们退休时间比计划提前。退休后继续工作:越来越多的员工还计划通过从事有薪工作来补充退休后的收入。计划退休后工作的员工比例在2009年增至72%(高于2007年的66%)。相比之下,34%的退休人员表示他们在退休期间的某个时候实际从事过有薪工作。对基本和医疗费用更为担忧:称对有足够资金支付退休后的基本费用非常有信心的员工比例在2009年降至(从2007年的40%降至)25%,而只有13%的人对有足够资金支付医疗费用非常有信心(从2007年的20%降至)。在退休人员中,只有四分之一(25%,低于2007年的41%)的人对支付医疗费用非常有信心。员工的应对方式:在对能否确保安享舒适退休生活失去信心的员工中,大多数(81%)表示他们已削减开支,其他人则在改变投资方式(43%)、增加工作时长或从事第二份工作(38%)、增加储蓄(25%)以及向金融专业人士寻求建议(25%)。在所有员工中,75%的人表示他们和/或其配偶已为退休储蓄,这是退休信心调查有史以来测量到的最高水平之一。无知仍是一个主要因素:许多员工仍然不清楚他们需要为退休储蓄多少。只有44%的员工表示他们和/或其配偶曾试图计算退休时需要储蓄多少钱,还有相同比例(44%)的人只是猜测他们需要多少钱才能安享舒适退休生活。