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A Systematic Review of Predictions of Survival in Palliative Care: How Accurate Are Clinicians and Who Are the Experts?姑息治疗中生存预测的系统评价:临床医生的准确性如何以及谁是专家?
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本文引用的文献

1
The terrible choice: re-evaluating hospice eligibility criteria for cancer.艰难的抉择:重新评估癌症患者临终关怀的资格标准
J Clin Oncol. 2009 Feb 20;27(6):953-9. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2008.17.8079. Epub 2008 Dec 29.
2
"I'm not ready for hospice": strategies for timely and effective hospice discussions.“我还没准备好接受临终关怀”:及时且有效进行临终关怀讨论的策略
Ann Intern Med. 2007 Mar 20;146(6):443-9. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-146-6-200703200-00011.
3
Factors that influence physicians' recommendation of hospice care: An exploratory study.影响医生推荐临终关怀的因素:一项探索性研究。
J Hosp Mark Public Relations. 2006;17(1):3-25. doi: 10.1300/J375v17n01_02.
4
Are patient preferences for life-sustaining treatment really a barrier to hospice enrollment for older adults with serious illness?对于患有严重疾病的老年人而言,患者对维持生命治疗的偏好真的是临终关怀登记的障碍吗?
J Am Geriatr Soc. 2006 Mar;54(3):472-8. doi: 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2005.00628.x.
5
Communication between physicians and family caregivers about care at the end of life: when do discussions occur and what is said?医生与家庭护理人员之间关于临终护理的沟通:讨论何时进行以及讨论了什么?
J Palliat Med. 2005 Dec;8(6):1176-85. doi: 10.1089/jpm.2005.8.1176.
6
Are we referring patients to hospice too late? Patients' and families' opinions.我们将患者转诊至临终关怀机构是否为时过晚?患者及其家属的看法。
J Palliat Med. 2005 Jun;8(3):521-7. doi: 10.1089/jpm.2005.8.521.
7
Timing of hospice referral and families' perceptions of services: are earlier hospice referrals better?临终关怀转诊的时机与家属对服务的认知:更早进行临终关怀转诊是否更好?
J Am Geriatr Soc. 2005 May;53(5):819-23. doi: 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2005.53259.x.
8
The quality of life of hospice patients: patient and provider perceptions.临终关怀患者的生活质量:患者与提供者的看法
Am J Hosp Palliat Care. 2005 Mar-Apr;22(2):95-110. doi: 10.1177/104990910502200205.
9
The burden of symptoms among community-dwelling older persons with advanced chronic disease.患有晚期慢性病的社区老年人的症状负担。
Arch Intern Med. 2004 Nov 22;164(21):2321-4. doi: 10.1001/archinte.164.21.2321.
10
Family perspectives on end-of-life care at the last place of care.家属对临终关怀最后场所的看法。
JAMA. 2004 Jan 7;291(1):88-93. doi: 10.1001/jama.291.1.88.

了解他们的选择:晚期疾病老年人进行临终关怀讨论的决定因素。

Understanding their options: determinants of hospice discussion for older persons with advanced illness.

机构信息

Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.

出版信息

J Gen Intern Med. 2009 Aug;24(8):923-8. doi: 10.1007/s11606-009-1030-9. Epub 2009 Jun 9.

DOI:10.1007/s11606-009-1030-9
PMID:19506972
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2710474/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Clinicians' discussions about hospice with patients and families are important as a means of communicating end-of-life options.

OBJECTIVE

To identify determinants of clinicians' hospice discussions and the impact of such discussions on hospice use.

DESIGN

We interviewed 215 patients age > or = 60 years with advanced cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), or heart failure (HF) at least every 4 months for up to 2 years. Participants provided information about their health status and treatment preferences. Clinicians completed a questionnaire every 6 months about their estimates of patient life expectancy and their communication with the patient and family about hospice.

RESULTS

In their final survey, clinicians reported discussing hospice with 46% of patients with cancer, compared to 10% with COPD and 7% with HF. Apart from diagnosis of cancer, the factors most strongly associated with hospice discussion were clinicians' estimate of and certainty about patient life expectancy (P < 0.001). However, clinicians were unable to anticipate the deaths of a considerable portion of patients (40%). Although patient unwillingness to undergo minor medical interventions was associated with hospice discussion (P < 0.05), a sizeable portion of clinicians (40%) whose patients reported this characteristic did not have the discussion. Clinicians' discussion of hospice independently increased the likelihood of hospice use (OR = 5.3, 95% CI = 2.3-13).

CONCLUSIONS

Clinicians' discussion of hospice for patients with advanced illness, and, ultimately, patients' use of hospice, relies largely on clinician estimates of patient life expectancy and the predictability of disease course. Many clinicians whose patients might benefit from learning about hospice are not having these discussions.

摘要

背景

临床医生与患者和家属讨论临终关怀是很重要的,因为这是沟通临终选择的一种方式。

目的

确定临床医生进行临终关怀讨论的决定因素,以及此类讨论对临终关怀使用的影响。

设计

我们对 215 名年龄≥60 岁的晚期癌症、慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)或心力衰竭(HF)患者进行了访谈,每 4 个月至少进行一次,持续 2 年。参与者提供了有关其健康状况和治疗偏好的信息。临床医生每 6 个月完成一次关于其对患者预期寿命的估计以及与患者和家属就临终关怀进行沟通的问卷。

结果

在他们的最终调查中,临床医生报告说,在癌症患者中,有 46%的患者讨论了临终关怀,而 COPD 患者中有 10%,HF 患者中有 7%。除了癌症诊断外,与临终关怀讨论最密切相关的因素是临床医生对患者预期寿命的估计和确定性(P<0.001)。然而,相当一部分临床医生(40%)无法预测患者的死亡(40%)。尽管患者不愿意接受小的医疗干预与临终关怀讨论有关(P<0.05),但仍有相当一部分(40%)的患者报告有此特征的临床医生并未进行讨论。临床医生对临终关怀的讨论独立增加了临终关怀使用的可能性(OR=5.3,95%CI=2.3-13)。

结论

临床医生对患有晚期疾病的患者进行临终关怀讨论,最终患者使用临终关怀,主要依赖于临床医生对患者预期寿命的估计和疾病过程的可预测性。许多可能从了解临终关怀中受益的患者的临床医生并没有进行这些讨论。