Department of Sociology, University of California, Riverside, CA 92521, USA.
Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2010 Apr;45(4):433-45. doi: 10.1007/s00127-009-0082-9. Epub 2009 Jun 18.
The purpose of the study was to examine the association of temporal factors, in particular days of the week and seasons of the year and death from suicide in the United States.
Data were pooled from the Multiple Cause of Death Files. Hierarchical logistic regression models were fitted to all deaths occurring in 2000 through 2004 by suicide.
The incidence of suicide was significantly higher on Wednesdays, compared to Sunday. Specifically, individuals were 99% more likely to kill themselves on Wednesday than on Sunday. Suicides were more prevalent in the summer months, and they were less likely to occur in winter. The state suicide rate significantly elevated individual suicide risk. The results held even after controlling for the potentially confounding effects of socio-economic and demographic variables at both the individual and state levels.
It was concluded that the observed association between seasonality and suicide cannot be discounted as a mere coincidence. Future research ought to focus on integrating individual level data and contextual variables when testing for seasonality effects.
本研究旨在探讨时间因素(特别是星期几和一年中的季节)与美国自杀死亡之间的关系。
数据来自多病因死亡档案。采用分层逻辑回归模型对 2000 年至 2004 年所有自杀死亡进行拟合。
与星期日相比,星期三自杀的发生率明显更高。具体来说,星期三自杀的可能性比星期日高 99%。夏季自杀更为普遍,而冬季自杀的可能性较小。州自杀率显著增加了个人自杀的风险。即使在控制了个体和州两个层面的社会经济和人口统计学变量的潜在混杂效应后,结果仍然成立。
因此,不能将季节性与自杀之间的观察到的关联视为偶然。未来的研究应该在测试季节性效应时,将个体水平的数据和背景变量整合在一起。