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1979-2003 年巴西圣保罗市自杀的季节性。

Seasonality of suicide in the city of Sao Paulo, Brazil, 1979-2003.

机构信息

Department of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil. [corrected]

出版信息

Braz J Psychiatry. 2009 Jun;31(2):101-5. doi: 10.1590/s1516-44462009000200004.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate suicide seasonality in the city of São Paulo within an urban area and tropical zone.

METHOD

Suicides were evaluated using the chi-square test and analysis of variance (ANOVA) by comparing monthly, quarterly and half-yearly variations, differentiating by gender. Analyses of time series were carried out using the autocorrelation function and periodogram, while the significance level for seasonality was confirmed with the Fisher's test.

RESULTS

The suicides of the period between 1979 and 2003 numbered 11,434 cases. Differences were observed in suicides occurring in Spring and Autumn for the total sample (ANOVA: p-value = 0.01), and in the male sample (ANOVA: p-value = 0.02). For the analysis of time series, seasonality was significant only for the period of 7 months in the male sample (p-value = 0.04).

DISCUSSION

In this study, no significant seasonal differences were observed in the occurrences of suicides, with the exception of the male sample. The differences observed did not correspond with the pattern described in studies carried out in temperate zones. Some of the climatic particularities of the tropical zone might explain the atypical pattern of seasonality of suicides found in large populations within an urban area and tropical zone.

摘要

目的

评估位于城市和热带地区的圣保罗市的自杀季节性。

方法

通过比较每月、每季度和每半年的变化,根据性别差异,使用卡方检验和方差分析(ANOVA)评估自杀。使用自相关函数和周期图进行时间序列分析,同时使用 Fisher 检验确认季节性的显著性。

结果

1979 年至 2003 年期间,自杀人数为 11434 例。在总样本(ANOVA:p 值=0.01)和男性样本(ANOVA:p 值=0.02)中,春季和秋季的自杀差异显著。对于时间序列分析,仅在男性样本的 7 个月期间存在季节性(p 值=0.04)。

讨论

在这项研究中,除了男性样本外,自杀发生率没有明显的季节性差异。观察到的差异与在温带地区进行的研究中描述的模式不一致。热带地区的一些气候特殊性可能解释了在城市和热带地区的大型人群中发现的自杀季节性非典型模式。

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