School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Ann Epidemiol. 2009 Dec;19(12):900-7. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2009.06.004. Epub 2009 Aug 3.
This study explored the spatial distribution of notified cryptosporidiosis cases and identified major socioeconomic factors associated with the transmission of cryptosporidiosis in Brisbane, Australia.
We obtained the computerized data sets on the notified cryptosporidiosis cases and their key socioeconomic factors by statistical local area (SLA) in Brisbane for the period of 1996 to 2004 from the Queensland Department of Health and Australian Bureau of Statistics, respectively. We used spatial empirical Bayes rates smoothing to estimate the spatial distribution of cryptosporidiosis cases. A spatial classification and regression tree (CART) model was developed to explore the relationship between socioeconomic factors and the incidence rates of cryptosporidiosis.
Spatial empirical Bayes analysis reveals that the cryptosporidiosis infections were primarily concentrated in the northwest and southeast of Brisbane. A spatial CART model shows that the relative risk for cryptosporidiosis transmission was 2.4 when the value of the social economic index for areas (SEIFA) was over 1028 and the proportion of residents with low educational attainment in an SLA exceeded 8.8%.
There was remarkable variation in spatial distribution of cryptosporidiosis infections in Brisbane. Spatial pattern of cryptosporidiosis seems to be associated with SEIFA and the proportion of residents with low education attainment.
本研究旨在探索澳大利亚布里斯班 notified cryptosporidiosis 病例的空间分布,并确定与该地区 cryptosporidiosis 传播相关的主要社会经济因素。
我们分别从昆士兰州卫生部和澳大利亚统计局获取了 1996 年至 2004 年期间布里斯班按统计地域分区(SLA)划分的 notified cryptosporidiosis 病例及其主要社会经济因素的计算机数据集。我们采用空间经验贝叶斯比率平滑法来估计 cryptosporidiosis 病例的空间分布。采用空间分类回归树(CART)模型来探索社会经济因素与 cryptosporidiosis 发病率之间的关系。
空间经验贝叶斯分析表明,cryptosporidiosis 感染主要集中在布里斯班的西北部和东南部。空间 CART 模型显示,当区域社会经济指数(SEIFA)值超过 1028 且 SLA 中低教育程度居民比例超过 8.8%时,cryptosporidiosis 传播的相对风险为 2.4。
布里斯班的 cryptosporidiosis 感染存在显著的空间分布差异。cryptosporidiosis 的空间模式似乎与 SEIFA 和低教育程度居民比例有关。