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基于Bonferroni的封闭检验程序的非α穷尽性替代置信区域。

Alternative confidence regions for bonferroni-based closed-testing procedures that are not alpha-exhaustive.

作者信息

Guilbaud Olivier

机构信息

AstraZeneca R&D, S-15185 Södertälje, Sweden.

出版信息

Biom J. 2009 Aug;51(4):721-35. doi: 10.1002/bimj.200800113.

DOI:10.1002/bimj.200800113
PMID:19655313
Abstract

This article complements the results in Guilbaud (Biometrical Journal 2008; 50:678-692). Simultaneous confidence regions were derived in that article that correspond to any given multiple testing procedure (MTP) in a fairly large class of consonant closed-testing procedures based on marginal p-values and weighted Bonferroni tests for intersection hypotheses. This class includes Holm's MTP, the fixed-sequence MTP, gatekeeping MTPs, fallback MTPs, multi-stage fallback MTPs, and recently proposed MTPs specified through a graphical representation and associated rejection algorithm. More general confidence regions are proposed in this article. These regions are such that for certain underlying MTPs which are not alpha-exhaustive, they lead to confidence assertions that may be sharper than rejection assertions for some rejected null hypotheses H when not all Hs are rejected, which is not the case with the previously proposed regions. In fact, various alternative confidence regions may be available for such an underlying MTP. These results are shown through an extension of the previous direct arguments (without invoking the partitioning principle), and under the same general setup; so for instance, estimated quantities and marginal confidence regions are not restricted to be of any particular kinds/dimensions. The relation with corresponding confidence regions of Strassburger and Bretz (Statistics in Medicine 2008; 27:4914-4927) is described. The results are illustrated with fallback and parallel-gatekeeping MTPs.

摘要

本文对吉尔博德(《生物计量学杂志》2008年;50:678 - 692)中的结果进行了补充。在那篇文章中,基于边际p值和用于交集假设的加权邦费罗尼检验,在相当大一类一致的封闭检验程序中,针对任何给定的多重检验程序(MTP)推导出了同时置信区域。这类程序包括霍尔姆的MTP、固定序列MTP、把关MTP、后备MTP、多阶段后备MTP,以及最近通过图形表示和相关拒绝算法指定的MTP。本文提出了更一般的置信区域。对于某些并非α - 穷举的潜在MTP,当并非所有原假设H都被拒绝时,这些区域会导致置信断言可能比某些被拒绝的原假设H的拒绝断言更精确,而先前提出的区域并非如此。实际上,对于这样一个潜在的MTP可能有各种替代的置信区域。这些结果通过扩展先前的直接论证(不调用划分原则)并在相同的一般设定下展示;例如,估计量和边际置信区域不限于任何特定类型/维度。描述了与施特拉斯布格尔和布雷茨(《医学统计学》2008年;27:4914 - 4927)相应置信区域的关系。结果通过后备和并行把关MTP进行了说明。

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