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一种分析多车道高速公路严重碰撞模式的新方法。

A novel approach for analyzing severe crash patterns on multilane highways.

机构信息

Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, CA 93407, United States.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2009 Sep;41(5):985-94. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2009.06.003. Epub 2009 Jun 21.

Abstract

This study presents a novel approach for analysis of patterns in severe crashes that occur on mid-block segments of multilane highways with partially limited access. A within stratum matched crash vs. non-crash classification approach is adopted towards that end. Under this approach crashes serve as units of analysis and it does not require aggregation of crash data over arterial segments of arbitrary lengths. Also, the proposed approach does not use information on non-severe crashes and hence is not affected by under-reporting of the minor crashes. Random samples of time, day of week, and location (i.e., milepost) combinations were collected for multilane arterials in the state of Florida and matched with severe crashes from the corresponding corridor to form matched strata consisting of severe crash and non-crash cases. For these cases, geometric design/roadside and traffic characteristics were derived based on the corresponding milepost locations. Four groups of crashes, severe rear-end, lane-change related, pedestrian, and single-vehicle/off-road crashes, on multilane arterials segments were compared separately to the non-crash cases. Severe lane-change related crashes may primarily be attributed to exposure while single-vehicle crashes and pedestrian crashes have no significant relationship with the ADT (Average Daily Traffic). For severe rear-end crashes speed limit, ADT, K-factor, time of day/day of week, median type, pavement condition, and presence of horizontal curvature were significant factors. The proposed approach uses general roadway characteristics as independent variables rather than event-specific information (i.e., crash characteristics such as driver/vehicle details); it has the potential to fit within a safety evaluation framework for arterial segments.

摘要

本研究提出了一种分析多车道高速公路部分限制出入的路段中间部分严重事故模式的新方法。为此采用了一种在同一层内基于事故与无事故的分类方法。在这种方法中,事故作为分析单位,不需要在任意长度的干道上对事故数据进行汇总。此外,该方法不使用非严重事故的信息,因此不受轻微事故漏报的影响。从佛罗里达州的多车道干道上随机抽取时间、星期几和位置(即里程碑)组合的样本,并与相应走廊的严重事故进行匹配,形成由严重事故和无事故案例组成的匹配层。对于这些案例,根据相应的里程碑位置推导出几何设计/路边和交通特征。将多车道干道上的四组事故(严重追尾事故、车道变换相关事故、行人事故和单车/驶离道路事故)分别与无事故案例进行比较。严重的车道变换相关事故主要归因于暴露,而单车事故和行人事故与 ADT(平均日交通量)没有显著关系。对于严重的追尾事故,限速、ADT、K 因子、一天中的时间/星期几、中间类型、路面状况和存在水平曲率是重要因素。所提出的方法使用一般道路特征作为自变量,而不是特定事件的信息(即驾驶员/车辆细节等事故特征);它有可能适用于干道的安全评估框架。

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