Thomas M E, Klinkenberg D, Ejeta G, Van Knapen F, Bergwerff A A, Stegeman J A, Bouma A
Department of Farm Animal Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, Yalelaan 7, 3584 CL Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Appl Environ Microbiol. 2009 Oct;75(19):6361-6. doi: 10.1128/AEM.00961-09. Epub 2009 Aug 7.
An important source of human salmonellosis is the consumption of table eggs contaminated with Salmonella enterica serovar Enteritidis. Optimization of the various surveillance programs currently implemented to reduce human exposure requires knowledge of the dynamics of S. Enteritidis infection within flocks. The aim of this study was to provide parameter estimates for a transmission model of S. Enteritidis in laying-type chicken flocks. An experiment was carried out with 60 pairs of laying hens. Per pair, one hen was inoculated with S. Enteritidis and the other was contact exposed. After inoculation, cloacal swab samples from all hens were collected over 18 days and tested for the presence of S. Enteritidis. On the basis of this test, it was determined if and when each contact-exposed hen became colonized. A transmission model including a latency period of 1 day and a slowly declining infectivity level was fitted. The mean initial transmission rate was estimated to be 0.47 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.30 to 0.72) per day. The reproduction number R(0), the average number of hens infected by one colonized hen in a susceptible population, was estimated to be 2.8 (95% CI, 1.9 to 4.2). The generation time, the average time between colonization of a "primary" hen and colonization of contact-exposed hens, was estimated to be 7.0 days (95% CI, 5.0 to 11.6 days). Simulations using these parameters showed that a flock of 20,000 hens would reach a maximum colonization level of 92% within 80 days after colonization of the first hen. These results can be used, for example, to evaluate the effectiveness of control and surveillance programs and to optimize these programs in a cost-benefit analysis.
人类沙门氏菌病的一个重要来源是食用被肠炎沙门氏菌污染的食用蛋。优化目前为减少人类接触而实施的各种监测计划需要了解禽群中肠炎沙门氏菌感染的动态情况。本研究的目的是为蛋鸡群中肠炎沙门氏菌的传播模型提供参数估计。对60对产蛋母鸡进行了一项实验。每对中,一只母鸡接种肠炎沙门氏菌,另一只进行接触暴露。接种后,在18天内收集所有母鸡的泄殖腔拭子样本,并检测是否存在肠炎沙门氏菌。根据该检测结果,确定每只接触暴露的母鸡是否以及何时被定植。拟合了一个包括1天潜伏期和感染性水平缓慢下降的传播模型。估计平均初始传播率为每天0.47(95%置信区间[CI],0.30至0.72)。繁殖数R(0),即在易感群体中一只被定植母鸡感染的母鸡平均数量,估计为2.8(95%CI,1.9至4.2)。代时,即“初级”母鸡定植与接触暴露母鸡定植之间的平均时间,估计为7.0天(95%CI,5.0至11.6天)。使用这些参数进行的模拟表明,一群20000只母鸡在第一只母鸡定植后80天内将达到92%的最大定植水平。这些结果可用于评估控制和监测计划的有效性,并在成本效益分析中优化这些计划。