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评估俄罗斯转型后不稳定就业对死亡率的影响:来自俄罗斯纵向监测调查的前瞻性个体层面分析。

Assessing the contribution of unstable employment to mortality in posttransition Russia: prospective individual-level analyses from the Russian longitudinal monitoring survey.

作者信息

Perlman Francesca, Bobak Martin

机构信息

London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, UK.

出版信息

Am J Public Health. 2009 Oct;99(10):1818-25. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2008.154815. Epub 2009 Aug 20.

DOI:10.2105/AJPH.2008.154815
PMID:19696378
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2741509/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

We used the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (RLMS) to investigate associations between employment, socioeconomic position, and mortality.

METHODS

Data were from working-age respondents in 8 rounds (1994-2003) of the RLMS. We measured associations between education, occupation, unemployment, and insecure employment and mortality with Cox proportional hazards analyses.

RESULTS

Of 4465 men and 4158 women who were currently employed, 251 men and 34 women died. A third of employed respondents experienced wage arrears, and 10% experienced compulsory leave and payment in consumer goods. Insecure employment, more common among the less-educated and manual workers, fluctuated with macroeconomic measures. Mortality was significantly associated with payment in consumer goods among men (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.46; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.03, 2.07), compulsory unpaid leave among women (HR = 3.79; 95% CI = 1.82, 7.88), and male unemployment (HR = 1.88; 95% CI = 1.38, 2.55). Associations with death within 1 year of entry were generally somewhat stronger than the association with mortality over the whole study period.

CONCLUSIONS

Unemployment and job insecurity predicted mortality, suggesting that they contributed to Russia's high mortality during the transition from communism.

摘要

目的

我们利用俄罗斯纵向监测调查(RLMS)来研究就业、社会经济地位与死亡率之间的关联。

方法

数据来自RLMS八轮调查(1994 - 2003年)中处于工作年龄的受访者。我们通过Cox比例风险分析来测量教育、职业、失业、非稳定就业与死亡率之间的关联。

结果

在4465名在职男性和4158名在职女性中,有251名男性和34名女性死亡。三分之一的在职受访者经历过工资拖欠,10%的受访者经历过强制休假并用消费品支付工资。非稳定就业在受教育程度较低者和体力劳动者中更为常见,且随宏观经济指标波动。死亡率与男性用消费品支付工资(风险比[HR]=1.46;95%置信区间[CI]=1.03,2.07)、女性强制无薪休假(HR = 3.79;95% CI = 1.82,7.88)以及男性失业(HR = 1.88;95% CI = 1.38,2.55)显著相关。与进入研究后1年内死亡的关联通常比与整个研究期间死亡率的关联略强。

结论

失业和工作不稳定预示着死亡率,这表明它们是导致俄罗斯从共产主义过渡期间高死亡率的原因之一。

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