Bell Michelle L, Peng Roger D, Dominici Francesca, Samet Jonathan M
School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, Kroon Hall, 195 Prospect St, New Haven, CT 06511, USA.
Circulation. 2009 Sep 15;120(11):949-55. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.109.851113. Epub 2009 Aug 31.
Evidence on risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) hospitalization associated with short-term exposure to outdoor carbon monoxide (CO), an air pollutant primarily generated by traffic, is inconsistent across studies. Uncertainties remain on the degree to which associations are attributable to other traffic pollutants and whether effects persist at low levels.
We conducted a multisite time-series study to estimate risk of CVD hospitalization associated with short-term CO exposure in 126 US urban counties during 1999-2005 for >9.3 million Medicare enrollees aged > or =65 years. We considered models with adjustment by other traffic-related pollutants: NO2, fine particulate matter (with aerodynamic diameter < or =2.5 microm), and elemental carbon. We found a positive and statistically significant association between same-day CO and increased risk of hospitalization for multiple CVD outcomes (ischemic heart disease, heart rhythm disturbances, heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, total CVD). The association remained positive and statistically significant but was attenuated with copollutant adjustment, especially NO2. A 1-ppm increase in same-day daily 1-hour maximum CO was associated with a 0.96% (95% posterior interval, 0.79%, 1.12%) increase in risk of CVD admissions. With same-day NO(2) adjustment, this estimate was 0.55% (0.36%, 0.74%). The risk persisted at low CO levels <1 ppm.
We found evidence of an association between short-term exposure to ambient CO and risk of CVD hospitalizations, even at levels well below current US health-based regulatory standards. This evidence indicates that exposure to current CO levels may still pose a public health threat, particularly for persons with CVD.
关于短期暴露于室外一氧化碳(CO)(一种主要由交通产生的空气污染物)与心血管疾病(CVD)住院风险之间的关联,各研究结果并不一致。对于这种关联在多大程度上可归因于其他交通污染物以及在低水平时影响是否持续存在,仍存在不确定性。
我们进行了一项多地点时间序列研究,以估计1999 - 2005年期间美国126个城市县中930多万年龄≥65岁的医疗保险参保者短期暴露于CO与CVD住院风险之间的关联。我们考虑了对其他与交通相关污染物进行调整的模型:二氧化氮(NO₂)、细颗粒物(空气动力学直径≤2.5微米)和元素碳。我们发现当日CO与多种CVD结局(缺血性心脏病、心律失常、心力衰竭、脑血管疾病、总CVD)住院风险增加之间存在正相关且具有统计学意义。这种关联在调整了共污染物后仍为正且具有统计学意义,但有所减弱,尤其是在调整了NO₂之后。当日每日1小时最大CO浓度每增加1 ppm,CVD入院风险增加0.96%(95%后验区间,0.79%,1.12%)。在调整了当日NO₂后,这一估计值为0.55%(0.36%,0.74%)。在CO水平<1 ppm时风险仍然存在。
我们发现有证据表明短期暴露于环境CO与CVD住院风险之间存在关联,即使在远低于美国现行基于健康的监管标准的水平下也是如此。这一证据表明,暴露于当前的CO水平仍可能对公众健康构成威胁,尤其是对于患有CVD的人群。