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空气污染与兰州市 2013-2020 年冠心病住院人数的相关性:一项时间序列分析。

Association Between Air Pollution and Coronary Heart Disease Hospitalizations in Lanzhou City, 2013-2020: a Time Series Analysis.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

J Urban Health. 2023 Dec;100(6):1246-1257. doi: 10.1007/s11524-023-00797-w. Epub 2023 Nov 27.

Abstract

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is one of the most serious public health problems. However, few studies have focused on the effects of exposure to particulate matter and gaseous air pollutants on CHD. This study aimed to explore the relationship between air pollutants and the number of hospitalized patients with CHD in Lanzhou, and we collected daily data on the number of hospitalized patients with CHD, daily air pollutants, and meteorological factors from 2013 to 2020. A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) combined with a quasi-Poisson regression model was applied to evaluate the relationship between air pollutants and the number of hospitalized patients with CHD. The results indicated that the hysteresis effect of all pollutants except O8h reached its maximum at lag3, and the relative risk of coronary heart disease admission was 1.0014 (95%CI: 1.0004, 1.0023), 1.0003 (95%CI: 1.0000, 1.0006), 1.0020 (95%CI: 1.0004, 1.0035), and 1.0053 (95%CI: 1.0026, 1.0080) when PM, PM, NO, and SO concentrations were increased by 10 μg/m, respectively. Each 1 mg/m increase in CO concentration was associated with a relative risk of coronary heart disease; hospitalization risk was 1.1076 (95%CI: 1.0530, 1.1650). We observed a relative risk of 0.9991 (95%CI: 0.9986, 0.9999) for each 10 μg/m increase in O8h for coronary heart disease admission at lag1. Women and elderly were more susceptible to the impact of air pollution, and the impact was greater during cold seasons. Our results indicate that air pollution increased the risk of hospitalization for CHD in a short term. The research findings can provide strategic insights into the impact of current and future air pollution on CHD.

摘要

冠心病(CHD)是最严重的公共卫生问题之一。然而,很少有研究关注暴露于颗粒物和气态空气污染物对 CHD 的影响。本研究旨在探讨兰州市空气污染物与 CHD 住院患者人数之间的关系,我们收集了 2013 年至 2020 年期间 CHD 住院患者人数、每日空气污染物和气象因素的每日数据。采用分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)结合准泊松回归模型评估空气污染物与 CHD 住院患者人数之间的关系。结果表明,除 O8h 外,所有污染物的滞后效应在滞后 3 时达到最大值,冠心病入院的相对风险为 1.0014(95%CI:1.0004,1.0023)、1.0003(95%CI:1.0000,1.0006)、1.0020(95%CI:1.0004,1.0035)和 1.0053(95%CI:1.0026,1.0080),当 PM、PM、NO 和 SO 浓度分别增加 10μg/m 时。CO 浓度每增加 1mg/m,冠心病住院的相对风险增加;住院风险为 1.1076(95%CI:1.0530,1.1650)。我们观察到,滞后 1 时,O8h 每增加 10μg/m,冠心病入院的相对风险为 0.9991(95%CI:0.9986,0.9999)。女性和老年人更容易受到空气污染的影响,在寒冷季节影响更大。我们的研究结果表明,空气污染会在短期内增加 CHD 住院的风险。研究结果可以为当前和未来空气污染对 CHD 的影响提供战略见解。

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