Chin J
Global Programme on AIDS, World Health Organisation, Geneva, Switzerland.
Lancet. 1990 Jul 28;336(8709):221-4. doi: 10.1016/0140-6736(90)91743-t.
The WHO estimates that during the first decade of the HIV/AIDS pandemic there were about 500,000 cases of AIDS in women and children, most of which have been unrecognised. During the 1990s, WHO estimates that the pandemic will kill an additional 3 million or more women and children world wide. HIV infection among heterosexual populations has been increasing throughout the world during the 1980s. AIDS has become the leading cause of death for women aged 20-40 in major cities in the Americas, Western Europe, and sub-Saharan Africa. In these cities, infant and child mortality could be as much as 30% greater than what would otherwise have been expected. During the 1990s, not only can hundreds of thousands of paediatric AIDS cases be expected, but also more than a million uninfected children will be orphaned because their HIV-infected mothers and fathers will have died from AIDS.
世界卫生组织估计，在艾滋病大流行的头十年里，妇女和儿童中约有50万例艾滋病病例，其中大多数未被识别。在20世纪90年代，世界卫生组织估计，全球范围内这一流行病还将导致另外300万或更多妇女和儿童死亡。在整个20世纪80年代，异性恋人群中的艾滋病毒感染率一直在上升。在美洲、西欧和撒哈拉以南非洲的主要城市，艾滋病已成为20至40岁妇女的主要死因。在这些城市，婴儿和儿童死亡率可能比正常预期高出30%。在20世纪90年代，不仅预计会有成千上万例儿童艾滋病病例，而且由于感染艾滋病毒的父母死于艾滋病，将有100多万未受感染的儿童成为孤儿。
