Lindhout Paul, Reniers Genserik
Delft University of Technology, TPM Safety & Security Science Group (S3G), the Netherlands.
KULeuven, Campus Brussels - Center for Corporate Sustainability (CEDON), Belgium.
Saf Sci. 2020 Oct;130:104907. doi: 10.1016/j.ssci.2020.104907. Epub 2020 Jul 10.
Our current predicament, the Covid-19 pandemic is first of all a health crisis. However, social disruption and economic damage are becoming visible some 7 months after the Wuhan City outbreak early December 2019. The authors wondered what could have been done better in prevention and repression of the Covid-19 pandemic from a safety management and risk control point of view. Within a case study framework, the authors gathered literature on pandemics, about country response effectiveness, and about human behaviour in the face of danger. The results consist of a safety management oriented narrative about the current pandemic, several critical observations about the current paradigms and shortcomings of preparation, and a number of opportunities for improvements of countermeasures. Many of the proverbial animals in the representing typical behaviours, were observed in action. Based on well proven risk analysis methods - risk management, event tree, scenarios, bowtie - the authors then analyse the generic sequence of events in a pandemic, starting from root causes, through prevention, via the outbreak of a pathogen, through mitigation to long term effects. Based on this analysis the authors propose an integrated pandemics barrier model. In this model the core is a generic pandemic scenario that is distinguishing five risk controllable sequential steps before an outbreak. The authors contend that the prevention of pandemics via safety management based biohazard risk control is both possible and of paramount importance since it can stop pandemic scenarios altogether even before an outbreak.
J Health Polit Policy Law. 2020-12-1
Toxicol Ind Health. 2020-9
J Food Saf. 2021-4
Geneva Risk Insur Rev. 2020
Public Health. 2010-1
Sens Actuators B Chem. 2022-1-15
Int J Disaster Risk Reduct. 2022-7
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021-11-1
Process Saf Environ Prot. 2021-8
Process Saf Environ Prot. 2021-6
Nat Commun. 2020-11-11
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020-6-11
J Biosaf Biosecur. 2019-3
Nature. 2020-5-20
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020-4-14
Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2020-4
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020-3-30