Institute for Medical Technology Assessment (iMTA), Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Value Health. 2010 Mar-Apr;13(2):230-41. doi: 10.1111/j.1524-4733.2009.00612.x. Epub 2009 Sep 25.
Many different factors affect the transferability of cost-effectiveness results between countries. The objective is to quantify the impact of nine potential causes of variation in cost-effectiveness of pharmacological smoking cessation therapies (SCTs) between The Netherlands (reference case), Germany, Sweden, UK, Belgium, and France.
The life-time benefits of smoking cessation were calculated using the Benefits of Smoking Cessation on Outcomes model, following a cohort of smokers making an unaided quit attempt, or using nicotine replacement therapy (NRT), bupropion, or varenicline. We investigated the impact of between-country differences in nine factors-demography, smoking prevalence, mortality, epidemiology and costs of smoking-related diseases, resource use and unit costs of SCTs, utility weights and discount rates-on the incremental net monetary benefit (INMB), using a willingness-to-pay (WTP) of euro20,000 per quality adjusted life year (QALY).
The INMB of 1000 quit attempts with NRT versus unaided, varies from euro0.39 million (Germany) to euro1.47 million (France). The differences between the countries were primarily due to differences in discount rates, causing the INMB to change between -65% to +62%, incidence and mortality rates (epidemiology) of smoking-related diseases (-43% to +35%) and utility weights. Impact also depended on the WTP for a QALY and time horizon: at a low WTP or a short time horizon, the resource use and unit costs of SCTs had the highest impact on INMB.
Although all INMBs were positive, there were significant differences across countries. These were primarily related to choice of discount rate and epidemiology of diseases.
许多不同的因素会影响成本效益结果在国家间的可转移性。本研究的目的是量化九个潜在因素对荷兰(基准案例)、德国、瑞典、英国、比利时和法国之间药物戒烟疗法(SCT)成本效益差异的影响。
采用Benefits of Smoking Cessation on Outcomes 模型,计算了戒烟的终生获益,该模型随访了一组未经辅助自行戒烟者或使用尼古丁替代疗法(NRT)、安非他酮或伐伦克林的吸烟者队列。我们研究了九个因素(人口统计学、吸烟流行率、死亡率、与吸烟相关疾病的流行病学和成本、SCT 的资源利用和单位成本、效用权重和贴现率)在国家间差异对增量净货币效益(INMB)的影响,采用 20,000 欧元/QALY 的支付意愿(WTP)作为阈值。
NRT 与未辅助戒烟相比,1000 次戒烟尝试的 INMB 从德国的 39 万欧元到法国的 147 万欧元不等。各国之间的差异主要归因于贴现率的差异,导致 INMB 变化幅度为-65%至+62%,与吸烟相关疾病的发病率和死亡率(流行病学)(-43%至+35%)和效用权重。影响还取决于 WTP 和时间范围:在低 WTP 或短时间范围内,SCT 的资源利用和单位成本对 INMB 的影响最大。
尽管所有 INMB 均为正值,但各国之间存在显著差异。这些差异主要与贴现率选择和疾病的流行病学有关。