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通过牙髓/牙面积比评估犬齿年龄:对葡萄牙样本的研究以检验卡梅里耶方法。

Age estimation by pulp/tooth area ratio in canines: study of a Portuguese sample to test Cameriere's method.

机构信息

AgEstimation Project, Institute of Legal Medicine, University of Macerata, Macerata, Italy.

出版信息

Forensic Sci Int. 2009 Dec 15;193(1-3):128.e1-6. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2009.09.011. Epub 2009 Oct 24.

Abstract

Age estimation in adults is an important problem in both anthropological and forensic fields, and apposition of secondary dentine is often used as an indicator of age. In recent papers, Cameriere et al. studied the pulp/tooth area ratio of canines for this purpose. The present study examines the application of the pulp/tooth area ratio by peri-apical X-ray images as an age indicator in a Portuguese identified sample. The statistical model was then compared with results from an Italian identified sample, to establish whether a common regression model for both samples could be developed. The Portuguese sample consisted of 126 canines of male and 132 of female from subjects 20 to 84 years old, from the osteological collection of the Museum of Anthropology at Coimbra University. The Italian sample consisted of 114 canines of male and 86 of female from subjects 20 to 79 years old, analyzed in Cameriere et al. (2007), and came from the Frassetto osteological collection of Sassari (Sardinia), now housed in the Museum of Anthropology, Department of Experimental and Evolutionistic Biology, University of Bologna. Statistical analysis was performed in order to obtain multiple regression formulas for dental age calculation, with chronological age as dependent variable, and gender and pulp/tooth area ratio on upper (RA(u)) and lower canines (RA(l)) as independent variables. ANCOVA analysis showed that gender was not significant but that variables RA(u) and RA(l) were. The regression model for the Portuguese sample yielded the following equations: Age=101.3-556.68 RA(u) (upper canines) and Age=92.37-492.05 RA(l) (lower canines). Both models explained about 97% of total variance, and mean prediction errors were ME=2.37 years and 2.55 years, respectively. Comparisons between the equation referring to the Portuguese sample and the equivalent linear equations proposed by Cameriere et al. for the Italian sample did not reveal significant differences between the linear models, suggesting that a common regression model could be applied for both samples. The common regression model, describing age as a linear function of RA(u) and RA(l), yielded the following linear regression formulas: Age=100.598-544.433 RA(u); Age=91.362-480.901 RA(l), and explained 86% and 93% of total variance, respectively. Mean prediction errors were ME=2.68 years and 2.73 years, respectively.

摘要

成人的年龄估计在人类学和法医学领域都是一个重要的问题,而继发性牙本质的出现通常被用作年龄的指标。在最近的论文中,Cameriere 等人研究了犬齿的牙髓/牙齿面积比,以达到这一目的。本研究通过根尖 X 射线图像检查了牙髓/牙齿面积比作为年龄指标在一个葡萄牙鉴定样本中的应用。然后,将统计模型与来自意大利鉴定样本的结果进行比较,以确定是否可以为两个样本建立一个共同的回归模型。葡萄牙样本由来自科英布拉大学人类学博物馆骨骼收藏的 20 至 84 岁男性 126 例和女性 132 例犬齿组成。意大利样本由来自萨萨里(撒丁岛)Frassetto 骨骼收藏的 20 至 79 岁男性 114 例和女性 86 例犬齿组成,分析来自 Cameriere 等人的研究(2007 年),现收藏于博洛尼亚大学实验和进化生物学系人类学博物馆。为了获得以年龄为因变量、性别和上(RA(u))和下犬齿(RA(l))的牙髓/牙齿面积比为自变量的牙龄计算的多元回归公式,进行了统计分析。协方差分析显示,性别无显著性,但 RA(u)和 RA(l)变量有显著性。葡萄牙样本的回归模型得出以下方程:年龄=101.3-556.68 RA(u)(上犬齿)和年龄=92.37-492.05 RA(l)(下犬齿)。两个模型都解释了大约 97%的总方差,平均预测误差分别为 ME=2.37 岁和 2.55 岁。将与葡萄牙样本相关的方程与 Cameriere 等人提出的用于意大利样本的等效线性方程进行比较,没有发现线性模型之间的显著差异,这表明可以为两个样本应用一个共同的回归模型。描述年龄为 RA(u)和 RA(l)的线性函数的共同回归模型得出以下线性回归公式:年龄=100.598-544.433 RA(u);年龄=91.362-480.901 RA(l),分别解释了 86%和 93%的总方差。平均预测误差分别为 ME=2.68 岁和 2.73 岁。

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