Poenaru D, Christou N V
Department of Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Ann Surg. 1991 Feb;213(2):130-6. doi: 10.1097/00000658-199102000-00007.
The delayed-type hypersensitivity (DTH) response and the APACHE II score in 118 patients with surgical infections were measured prospectively and related to outcome. Logistic regression analysis generated the equation: [formula: see text]. The risk assessment as calculated by this model was compared to that using the APACHE II system alone in a separate group of 354 patients. There was an improvement in the predictive capacity of the APACHE II + DTH equation compared to APACHE II alone, as shown by a better fit of expected and observed deaths, an improved Goodman-Kruskal G statistic, and a larger area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. It is concluded that the DTH response (a broad marker of immunocompetence) is an independent prognostic factor in surgical patients and can be used in combination with the APACHE II score (a measure of acute physiology) to estimate better the outcome of surgical patients.
前瞻性地测量了118例手术感染患者的迟发型超敏反应(DTH)和急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统II(APACHE II)评分,并将其与预后相关联。逻辑回归分析得出方程:[公式:见原文]。在另一组354例患者中,将该模型计算出的风险评估与仅使用APACHE II系统的风险评估进行了比较。与单独使用APACHE II相比,APACHE II + DTH方程的预测能力有所提高,这表现为预期死亡和观察到的死亡拟合度更好、古德曼-克鲁斯卡尔G统计量有所改善以及受试者工作特征曲线下面积更大。得出的结论是,DTH反应(免疫能力的一个广泛指标)是手术患者的一个独立预后因素,可与APACHE II评分(一种急性生理学测量指标)结合使用,以更好地估计手术患者的预后。