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60 年青少年男性随访中的死亡率预测因子:探索犯罪行为、社会经济地位、智商、高中辍学状况和人格。

Mortality predictors in a 60-year follow-up of adolescent males: exploring delinquency, socioeconomic status, IQ, high-school drop-out status, and personality.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, Vassar College, Poughkeepsie, NY 12604-0219, USA.

出版信息

Psychosom Med. 2010 Jan;72(1):46-52. doi: 10.1097/PSY.0b013e3181bfd7d8. Epub 2009 Nov 20.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether socioeconomic status (SES), high school (HS) completion, IQ, and personality traits that predict delinquency in adolescence also could explain men's delinquency-related (Dq-r) mortality risk across the life span.

METHODS

Through a 60-year Social Security Death Index (SSDI) follow-up of 1812 men from Hathaway's adolescent normative Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI) sample, we examined mortality risk at various ages and at various levels of prior delinquency severity. We examined SES (using family rent level), HS completion, IQ, and MMPI indicators simultaneously as mortality predictors and tested for SES (rent level) interactions with IQ and personality.

RESULTS

We ascertained 418 decedents. Dq-r mortality peaked between ages 45 years to 64 years and continued through age 75 years, with high delinquency severity showing earlier and higher mortality risk. IQ and rent level failed to explain Dq-r mortality. HS completion robustly conferred mortality protection through ages 55 years and 75 years, explained IQ and rent level-related risk, but did not fully explain Dq-r risk. Dq-r MMPI scales, Psychopathic Deviate, and Social Introversion, respectively, predicted risk for and protection from mortality by age 75 years, explaining mortality risk otherwise attributable to delinquency. Wiggins' scales also explained Dq-r mortality risk, as Authority Conflict conferred risk for and Social Maladjustment and Hypomania conferred protection from mortality by age 75 years.

CONCLUSIONS

HS completion robustly predicts mortality by ages 55 years and 75 years. Dq-r personality traits predict mortality by age 75 years, accounting, in part, for Dq-r mortality.

摘要

目的

考察青少年时期的社会经济地位(SES)、高中(HS)完成情况、智商和预测犯罪的人格特质是否也能解释男性一生中与犯罪相关的(Dq-r)死亡风险。

方法

通过对 1812 名来自 Hathaway 的青少年正常明尼苏达州多项人格问卷(MMPI)样本的男性进行 60 年的社会保障死亡指数(SSDI)随访,我们考察了不同年龄和不同先前犯罪严重程度的死亡风险。我们同时使用家庭租金水平来衡量 SES,高中完成情况,智商和 MMPI 指标作为死亡预测指标,并检验 SES(租金水平)与智商和人格的交互作用。

结果

我们确定了 418 名死者。Dq-r 死亡率在 45 岁至 64 岁之间达到峰值,并持续到 75 岁,高犯罪严重程度显示出更早和更高的死亡率风险。智商和租金水平无法解释 Dq-r 死亡率。高中完成情况通过 55 岁和 75 岁时仍然具有强大的保护作用,解释了智商和租金水平相关的风险,但并未完全解释 Dq-r 风险。Dq-r MMPI 量表、精神变态偏差和社会内向,分别预测了 75 岁时的死亡风险和保护作用,解释了否则归因于犯罪的死亡风险。Wiggins 的量表也解释了 Dq-r 死亡率风险,因为权威冲突导致风险,而社会失调和轻度躁狂症则在 75 岁时提供了保护。

结论

高中完成情况通过 55 岁和 75 岁时仍然具有强大的预测死亡风险的能力。Dq-r 人格特质通过 75 岁时预测死亡风险,部分解释了 Dq-r 死亡率。

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