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本地研究中登革热的空间异质性,巴西东南部尼泰罗伊市。

Spatial heterogeneity of dengue fever in local studies, City of Niterói, Southeastern Brazil.

机构信息

Departamento de Epidemiologia e Bioestatística, Instituto de Saúde da Comunidade, Universidade Federal Fluminense, Av. Marquês de Paraná 303, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.

出版信息

Rev Saude Publica. 2009 Dec;43(6):1035-43. doi: 10.1590/s0034-89102009005000064. Epub 2009 Dec 4.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the spatial and temporal occurrence of dengue fever and its association with the heterogeneity of urban environment characteristics.

METHODS

A total of 1,212 dengue cases, recorded in the Information System for Notifiable Diseases (Sinan) between 1998 and 2006, in the city of Niterói, Southeastern Brazil, were georeferenced according to census tracts. These tracts were classified into homogeneous areas for the occurrence of the disease: slum, shipyard and urban area. Cases were grouped into five periods--two inter-epidemic periods (1998-2000 and 2003-2005) and three epidemic periods (2001, 2002 and 2006)--and analyzed using operations between layers in a geographic information system (GIS) environment. The kernel method was used to identify clusters of cases. Kulldorff's spatial scan statistic was used to confirm these clusters statistically.

RESULTS

Of all cases, 57% were females. Age groups with the highest number of cases were 20-29-years (20.5%) and 30-39-years (17.7%). The hill slum sector showed only 11% of households covered by garbage collection service, the highest percentage of illiterate individuals (8.7%) and head of families with income lower than one monthly minimum wage (29.5%). Cases remained in the slum sectors. In the first epidemic year and in the inter-epidemic periods, the highest number of cases was found in the hill and flatland slum sectors; in the second and third epidemic years, in the flatland slum sector.

CONCLUSIONS

The economically active portion of the population was that most affected in the study area. Census tracts show spatial heterogeneity in relation to life conditions. In addition, in some tracts, there are differences in spatial and temporal distribution of the risk of occurrence of dengue fever.

摘要

目的

分析登革热的时空发生情况及其与城市环境特征异质性的关系。

方法

本研究共纳入了 1998 年至 2006 年间巴西东南部尼泰罗伊市传染病信息系统中记录的 1212 例登革热病例,并根据普查区进行了地理定位。这些普查区被分为疾病发生的同质区域:贫民窟、造船厂和城区。病例被分为五个时期——两个间疫期(1998-2000 年和 2003-2005 年)和三个疫期(2001 年、2002 年和 2006 年),并在地理信息系统(GIS)环境中使用层间操作进行分析。使用核方法识别病例集群。使用 Kulldorff 的空间扫描统计量对这些集群进行统计验证。

结果

所有病例中,57%为女性。年龄组中病例数最多的是 20-29 岁(20.5%)和 30-39 岁(17.7%)。山坡贫民窟区只有 11%的家庭有垃圾收集服务,文盲比例最高(8.7%),家庭收入低于一个月最低工资的比例最高(29.5%)。病例仍集中在贫民窟区。在第一个流行年和间疫期,山坡和低地贫民窟区的病例数最多;在第二个和第三个流行年,低地贫民窟区的病例数最多。

结论

在研究区域内,经济活跃人群受影响最大。普查区的生活条件存在空间异质性。此外,在某些普查区,登革热发生风险的时空分布存在差异。

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