Carvalho Renata Marzzano de, Nascimento Luiz Fernando Costa
Departamento de Engenharia Mecânica, UNESP, Guaratinguetá, SP, Brazil.
Rev Inst Med Trop Sao Paulo. 2012 Sep-Oct;54(5):261-6. doi: 10.1590/s0036-46652012000500005.
The aim of this article is to identify patterns in spatial distribution of cases of dengue fever that occurred in the municipality of Cruzeiro, State of São Paulo, in 2006. This is an ecological and exploratory study using the tools of spatial analysis in the preparation of thematic maps with data from Sinan-Net. An analysis was made by area, taking as unit the IBGE census, the analysis included four months in 2006 which show the occurrence of the disease in the city. The thematic maps were constructed by TerraView 3.3.1 software, the same software provided the values of the indicators of Global Moran (I M) every month and the Kernel estimation. In the year 2006, 691 cases of dengue were georeferenced (with a rate of 864.2 cases/100,000 inhabitants); the indicators of Moran and p-values obtained were I M = 0.080 (March) p = 0.11; I M = 0.285 (April) p = 0.01; I M = 0.201 (May) p = 0.01 and I M = 0.002 (June) p = 0.57. The first cases were identified in the Northeast and Central areas of Cruzeiro and the recent cases, in the North, Northeast and Central. It was possible to identify census tracts where the epidemic began and how it occurred temporally and spatially in the city.
本文旨在确定2006年发生在圣保罗州克鲁塞罗市的登革热病例的空间分布模式。这是一项生态探索性研究,利用空间分析工具,根据Sinan-Net的数据绘制专题地图。分析以巴西地理统计局(IBGE)的人口普查区域为单位,涵盖了2006年显示该市疾病发生情况的四个月。专题地图由TerraView 3.3.1软件绘制,该软件每月提供全局莫兰指数(IM)和核密度估计值。2006年,691例登革热病例进行了地理定位(发病率为864.2例/10万居民);得到的莫兰指数和p值分别为:3月IM = 0.080,p = 0.11;4月IM = 0.285,p = 0.01;5月IM = 0.201,p = 0.01;6月IM = 0.002,p = 0.57。最初的病例出现在克鲁塞罗市的东北部和中部地区,最近的病例出现在北部、东北部和中部。能够确定疫情开始的普查区域,以及它在城市中如何在时间和空间上发生。