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当天才犯错:罗纳德·艾尔默·费希尔与肺癌争议

When genius errs: R.A. Fisher and the lung cancer controversy.

作者信息

Stolley P D

机构信息

Clinical Epidemiology Unit, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia 19104-6095.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 1991 Mar 1;133(5):416-25; discussion 426-8. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a115904.

Abstract

R.A. Fisher's work on lung cancer and smoking is critically reviewed. The controversy is placed in the context of his career and personality. Although Fisher made invaluable contributions to the field of statistics, his analysis of the causal association between lung cancer and smoking was flawed by an unwillingness to examine the entire body of data available and prematurely drawn conclusions. His views may also have been influenced by personal and professional conflicts, by his work as a consultant to the tobacco industry, and by the fact that he was himself a smoker.

摘要

对R.A.费希尔关于肺癌与吸烟的研究进行了批判性审视。这场争议被置于他的职业生涯和个性背景中。尽管费希尔在统计学领域做出了不可估量的贡献,但他对肺癌与吸烟之间因果关联的分析存在缺陷,因为他不愿意审视所有可得数据并过早得出结论。他的观点可能还受到个人和职业冲突、他作为烟草行业顾问的工作以及他自己就是吸烟者这一事实的影响。

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