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巴西癌症死亡率趋势,1980-2004 年。

Trends in cancer mortality in Brazil, 1980-2004.

机构信息

Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche 'Mario Negri', Milan, Italy.

出版信息

Eur J Cancer Prev. 2010 Mar;19(2):79-86. doi: 10.1097/CEJ.0b013e32833233be.

Abstract

Scanty information, limited to selected areas of the country, is available on cancer mortality in Brazil. Age-standardized (world population) mortality rates between 1980 and 2004, derived from the WHO database, were computed for all cancers and 24 major cancer sites in Brazil. Joinpoint regression analyses were used to identify the significant changes in trends and estimate annual percent change (APC) in rates. Total cancer mortality rates increased over the last decade in men (APC = 0.5) to reach 101.2/100 000, and in women (APC = 0.3) to reach 71.3/100 000. In men, upward trends were observed for cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx with a rate of 5.9/100 000 in 2000-2004, intestines (whose rate, however was low, i.e. 7.6), prostate (12.2), and leukemias (3.4). Male lung cancer increased until 1993 (APC = 1.39) and decreased thereafter (APC = -0.29), with a relatively low rate of 16.2/100 000 in 2000-2004. In women, there were steady upward trends for cancers of the lung (APC = 2.3), reaching 6.2/100 000 in 2000-2004, and leukemias (2.5). Breast cancer mortality leveled off at around 10/100 000 in the last decade, whereas declines were observed for cancers of the uterus, whose rate (8.3) however, remained comparatively high. Declines were observed for stomach cancer in both sexes, with rates of 11.1 in men and 4.6 in women. In conclusion, the key issues of cancer mortality in Brazil are the high rates of head and neck cancers in men and (cervix) uterine cancer in women, that is, in principle cancers that are largely avoidable through prevention, screening, and early diagnosis.

摘要

巴西的癌症死亡率相关信息有限,仅局限在该国的部分地区。本研究利用世界卫生组织数据库中的数据,计算了 1980 年至 2004 年巴西所有癌症和 24 个主要癌症部位的年龄标准化(世界人口)死亡率。应用 Joinpoint 回归分析确定趋势的显著变化,并估计年度变化百分比(APC)。在过去的十年中,男性的总体癌症死亡率上升(APC=0.5),达到 101.2/100000,女性(APC=0.3)达到 71.3/100000。在男性中,口腔和咽癌的上升趋势明显,2000-2004 年的发病率为 5.9/100000;其次是肠道(其发病率较低,为 7.6)、前列腺(12.2)和白血病(3.4)。男性肺癌的发病率在 1993 年之前呈上升趋势(APC=1.39),此后呈下降趋势(APC=-0.29),2000-2004 年的发病率相对较低,为 16.2/100000。在女性中,肺癌(APC=2.3)和白血病(APC=2.5)的死亡率呈持续上升趋势,2000-2004 年的发病率分别达到 6.2/100000 和 6.2/100000。在过去的十年中,乳腺癌的死亡率保持在 10/100000 左右,而子宫癌的发病率却有所下降,尽管其发病率(8.3)仍然相对较高。男女胃癌的发病率均有所下降,男性为 11.1,女性为 4.6。总之,巴西癌症死亡率的关键问题是男性头颈部癌症和女性(子宫颈)子宫癌的高发病率,原则上这些癌症可以通过预防、筛查和早期诊断来大大降低。

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