Department of Radiology, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.
Eur Radiol. 2010 Jun;20(6):1476-84. doi: 10.1007/s00330-009-1686-x. Epub 2009 Dec 17.
We developed a multiple logistic regression model, an artificial neural network (ANN), and a support vector machine (SVM) model to predict the outcome of a prostate biopsy, and compared the accuracies of each model.
One thousand and seventy-seven consecutive patients who had undergone transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-guided prostate biopsy were enrolled in the study. Clinical decision models were constructed from the input data of age, digital rectal examination findings, prostate-specific antigen (PSA), PSA density (PSAD), PSAD in transitional zone, and TRUS findings. The patients were divided into the training and test groups in a randomized fashion. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC, Az) were calculated to summarize the overall performance of each decision model for the task of prostate cancer prediction.
The Az values of the ROC curves for the use of multiple logistic regression analysis, ANN, and the SVM were 0.768, 0.778, and 0.847, respectively. Pairwise comparison of the ROC curves determined that the performance of the SVM was superior to that of the ANN or the multiple logistic regression model.
Image-based clinical decision support models allow patients to be informed of the actual probability of having a prostate cancer.
我们开发了一个多元逻辑回归模型、一个人工神经网络(ANN)和一个支持向量机(SVM)模型,以预测前列腺活检的结果,并比较了每个模型的准确性。
本研究纳入了 1077 例连续接受经直肠超声(TRUS)引导前列腺活检的患者。从年龄、直肠指诊、前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)、PSA 密度(PSAD)、移行区 PSAD 和 TRUS 发现等输入数据构建临床决策模型。患者以随机方式分为训练组和测试组。计算接收者操作特征(ROC)曲线下的面积(AUC,Az),以总结每个决策模型在预测前列腺癌任务中的整体性能。
多元逻辑回归分析、ANN 和 SVM 的 ROC 曲线的 Az 值分别为 0.768、0.778 和 0.847。ROC 曲线的两两比较确定 SVM 的性能优于 ANN 或多元逻辑回归模型。
基于图像的临床决策支持模型可使患者了解实际患有前列腺癌的概率。