Hobday Michelle, Knight Stephen
Department of Public Health Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
J Child Health Care. 2010 Mar;14(1):67-81. doi: 10.1177/1367493509347059. Epub 2010 Jan 7.
The burden of disability and death on child pedestrians has not been widely researched in the developing world. Using the eThekwini Transport Authority database for 2007, data about collisions involving pedestrians under the age of 15 in the eThekwini metropolitan area were analysed. Incidence risk and proportions were calculated for risk factors involving pedestrians, drivers and the environment. Male pedestrians aged 5 to 9 were at highest risk of injury compared to other male pedestrians (IRR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.38 to 1.91). This group also had the highest fatality risk (IRR: 2.12; 95% CI: 1.05 to 4.29). Male drivers had nearly five times the risk of involvement in pedestrian collisions compared to females. The highest proportion of fatal pedestrian collisions involved buses and trucks, on freeways, in wet conditions and at night. The findings point to the need to: (a) improve pedestrian visibility; (b) design safe routes to schools; and (c) develop practical roadside skills. For the first time in research in road traffic injuries, this study provides an overall picture of both fatal and non-fatal child pedestrian collisions in a South African municipality.
在发展中世界,儿童行人的残疾和死亡负担尚未得到广泛研究。利用德班交通管理局2007年的数据库,分析了德班大都市区涉及15岁以下行人的碰撞事故数据。计算了涉及行人、司机和环境的风险因素的发病风险和比例。与其他男性行人相比,5至9岁的男性行人受伤风险最高(发病率比值比:1.63;95%置信区间:1.38至1.91)。该群体的死亡风险也最高(发病率比值比:2.12;95%置信区间:1.05至4.29)。与女性相比,男性司机卷入行人碰撞事故的风险几乎高出五倍。致命行人碰撞事故中比例最高的涉及公共汽车和卡车,发生在高速公路上、潮湿条件下和夜间。研究结果表明需要:(a)提高行人可见度;(b)设计安全的上学路线;(c)培养实用的路边技能。在道路交通伤害研究中,本研究首次全面呈现了南非一个城市中儿童行人致命和非致命碰撞事故的情况。