Merler Enzo
Registro regionale veneto dei casi di mesotelioma, SPISAL, AUSSL 16, Padova, Italia.
Epidemiol Prev. 2009 Jul-Oct;33(4-5 Suppl 2):17-27.
The article reviews the estimates of Attributable Fraction (AF) of occupational cancers. Because of their relevance, it starts with a synthesis and a comment on the estimates of avoidable cancers, and among these of cancers due to occupation, as expressed in 1981 by Doll and Peto. The main studies that have brought back into the epidemiological pathway the exercise of producing FA are quoted and the results of the new studies reviewed. The dimension of occupational cancers is of public health importance, because caused by exposures assumed to be avoidable. However, the estimates of AF are prone to uncertainties and limitations. Occupational cancers represent the major killer among deaths due to occupational diseases and injuries and a relevant fraction, especially among males, of total cancers. When related to developed countries, estimates may underestimate the risks, because of the insufficient data on exposures for workers in small firms, the lack of information on exposures in agriculture, the scanty availability of epidemiological studies on cancer risks among women. The trend towards a reduction of employees in industrial activities, the elimination or control of some exposures should suggest, instead, a reduction for occupational cancer. However, the more recent estimates of AF of occupational cancers are still in line with the estimates expressed more that 20 years ago. In developing countries, the estimates of AF are plenty of assumptions. In addition, some characteristics (i.e. the younger age of starting work, the extension of work at older age) suggest the need of better data, whereas information on exposures and events are dramatically lacking.
本文回顾了职业性癌症归因分数(AF)的估计值。鉴于其相关性,文章首先对可避免癌症的估计值进行了综合和评论,其中包括1981年多尔和佩托所指出的职业性癌症的估计值。文中引用了将AF计算工作重新纳入流行病学途径的主要研究,并对新研究的结果进行了回顾。职业性癌症的规模具有公共卫生重要性,因为它是由被认为可避免的暴露引起的。然而,AF的估计值容易存在不确定性和局限性。职业性癌症是职业疾病和伤害导致死亡的主要杀手,并且在所有癌症中占相当比例,尤其是在男性中。与发达国家相关时,由于小公司工人暴露数据不足、农业暴露信息缺乏、女性癌症风险的流行病学研究资料稀少,估计值可能低估了风险。相反,工业活动中员工数量减少的趋势、某些暴露的消除或控制应该意味着职业性癌症的减少。然而,职业性癌症AF的最新估计值仍与20多年前的估计值一致。在发展中国家,AF的估计充满了假设。此外,一些特征(即开始工作的年龄较小、老年工作时间延长)表明需要更好的数据,而关于暴露和事件的信息严重缺乏。