Health Post-Graduate Program, Department of Internal Medicine, Health Science Center; Department of Biochemistry, Bioscience Center, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, RN, Brazil.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2010 Feb;82(2):306-14. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2010.08-0675.
Applied Spatial Statistics used in conjunction with geographic information systems (GIS) provide an efficient tool for the surveillance of diseases. Here, using these tools we analyzed the spatial distribution of Hansen's disease in an endemic area in Brazil. A sample of 808 selected from a universe of 1,293 cases was geocoded in Mossoró, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil. Hansen's disease cases were not distributed randomly within the neighborhoods, with higher detection rates found in more populated districts. Cluster analysis identified two areas of high risk, one with a relative risk of 5.9 (P = 0.001) and the other 6.5 (P = 0.001). A significant relationship between the geographic distribution of disease and the social economic variables indicative of poverty was observed. Our study shows that the combination of GIS and spatial analysis can identify clustering of transmissible disease, such as Hansen's disease, pointing to areas where intervention efforts can be targeted to control disease.
应用空间统计学与地理信息系统(GIS)相结合,为疾病监测提供了一种有效的工具。在这里,我们使用这些工具分析了巴西一个流行地区的麻风病的空间分布。从巴西北里奥格兰德州莫索罗的 1293 例病例中选取了 808 个样本进行地理编码。麻风病病例在社区内的分布并非随机,人口较多的地区检出率较高。聚类分析确定了两个高风险区域,一个的相对风险为 5.9(P=0.001),另一个为 6.5(P=0.001)。观察到疾病的地理分布与表明贫困的社会经济变量之间存在显著关系。我们的研究表明,GIS 和空间分析的结合可以识别传染病(如麻风病)的聚集性,从而确定可以针对干预措施的控制疾病的目标区域。