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意大利初潮年龄的最新变化:接近稳定的趋势。

Update on age at menarche in Italy: toward the leveling off of the secular trend.

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.

出版信息

J Adolesc Health. 2010 Mar;46(3):238-44. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2009.07.009. Epub 2009 Oct 13.

DOI:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2009.07.009
PMID:20159500
Abstract

PURPOSE

To update the information on age at menarche in the Italian population and to verify the influence of genetic, nutritional, and socioeconomic factors on menarcheal age. Recent studies suggest that the magnitude of the secular trend toward an earlier age at menarche is slackening in industrialized countries.

METHODS

This multicenter study was conducted on a large, population-based sample of Italian high school girls (n = 3,783), using a self-administered questionnaire. The questionnaire was used to gather information on the girls, including demography, anthropometry, menarcheal date, regularity of menses, behavioral habits, and physical activity. The questionnaire was also used to gather information on parents, including demography and mothers' and sisters' menarcheal ages. The median age at menarche and its 95% confidence interval were estimated by means of Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. To identify the independent predictive factors of age at menarche, multivariate mixed-effects models were applied.

RESULTS

The median age at menarche of the subjects was 12.4 years (95% confidence interval: 12.34-12.46). The girls had their first menses approximately one-quarter of a year (median-0.13) earlier than did their mothers (p < .0001). Among all variables, parents' birth area, body mass index, family size, and the mother's menarcheal age were significantly and independently associated with age at menarche.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirmed the reduction in the trend toward earlier menarche in Italy. The results also confirmed that genetic and nutritional factors are strong markers for early menarche. Currently, socioeconomic factors do not seem to play as significant a role as in the past.

摘要

目的

更新意大利人群初潮年龄的信息,并验证遗传、营养和社会经济因素对初潮年龄的影响。最近的研究表明,工业化国家初潮年龄的长期趋势趋于减缓。

方法

这项多中心研究以意大利高中女生(n=3783)的大型、基于人群的样本为基础,使用自我管理的问卷进行。问卷用于收集女孩的信息,包括人口统计学、人体测量学、初潮日期、月经规律、行为习惯和身体活动。问卷还用于收集父母的信息,包括人口统计学以及母亲和姐妹的初潮年龄。使用 Kaplan-Meier 生存分析估计初潮的中位数年龄及其 95%置信区间。为了确定初潮年龄的独立预测因素,应用了多变量混合效应模型。

结果

受试者的初潮中位数年龄为 12.4 岁(95%置信区间:12.34-12.46)。女孩的初潮时间比她们的母亲早大约四分之一年(中位数-0.13;p<0.0001)。在所有变量中,父母的出生地区、体重指数、家庭规模和母亲的初潮年龄与初潮年龄显著且独立相关。

结论

这项研究证实了意大利初潮年龄呈下降趋势。研究结果还证实了遗传和营养因素是初潮早的有力标志。目前,社会经济因素似乎没有过去那么重要。

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