Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Center, Beijing 100191, China.
Biomed Environ Sci. 2009 Oct;22(5):430-41. doi: 10.1016/S0895-3988(10)60022-0.
To evaluate the impact of major causes of death on changes of life expectancy in China.
Life expectancy was calculated by standard life table techniques using mortality data from the national censuses in 1990 and 2000 and the 1% National Population Sampling Surveys in 1995 and 2005. Mortality data about the major causes of death from VR-MOH were used as reference values to estimate their death proportions of the specific age groups by sex and regions, as well as all-cause mortality and age-specific mortality rates of major causes of death. Decomposition method was used to quantitatively evaluate the impact.
Three key findings were identified in our study. First, China's health challenge was shifted from diseases related to living conditions to those related to behavior and lifestyle, with rural areas relatively lagged behind urban areas. Second, the impacts of cardiovascular diseases and neoplasm on the middle aged and elderly population were stressed. Third, compared to the urban population, the rural population tended to have increasing mortality of neoplasm and cardiovascular diseases, especially in adults at the age of 15-39 years.
Further efforts should be made to reduce the incidence of neoplasm and cardiovascular diseases, especially in rural areas, by promoting healthy behavior and lifestyle and providing appropriate therapies for all patients in need.
评估主要死因变化对中国预期寿命的影响。
利用 1990 年和 2000 年全国人口普查及 1995 年和 2005 年 1%全国人口抽样调查资料,采用标准生命表技术计算预期寿命。以 VR-MOH 的主要死因死亡率数据为参照,估算各年龄组、性别和地区的死因构成比以及主要死因的全死因死亡率和年龄别死亡率。采用分解方法定量评价其影响。
本研究有三个主要发现。首先,中国的健康挑战已从与生活条件相关的疾病转变为与行为和生活方式相关的疾病,农村地区相对滞后。其次,强调了心血管疾病和肿瘤对中老年人群的影响。第三,与城市人口相比,农村人口的肿瘤和心血管疾病死亡率呈上升趋势,尤其是 15-39 岁的成年人。
应通过促进健康的行为和生活方式,并为所有有需要的患者提供适当的治疗,努力降低农村地区肿瘤和心血管疾病的发病率。