Department of Preventive Medicine and Environmental Health, University of Kentucky College of Public Health, 121 Washington Avenue, Lexington, KY 40536, USA.
J Community Health. 2010 Oct;35(5):549-53. doi: 10.1007/s10900-010-9241-x.
Tobacco use is a modifiable risk factor that has many characteristics of a chronic illness. We analyzed longitudinal data from participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC) and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) and compared tobacco use to other chronic illnesses to evaluate effects on mortality. We limited our analysis to 20,293 participants aged 45 and older at baseline. We determined smoking status, diabetes status, hypertension, cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and lung disease status at baseline. We developed Cox proportional hazard models, adjusting for age, sex and race and all comorbid diseases, to determine the effect of disease on mortality at up to 13 years of follow-up, 3,022 study participants died during the follow-up period. Adjusted proportional hazard models found that the risk of smoking for death had a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.0 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.8, 2.2). This was similar to the mortality risk for ASCVD (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.7, 2.0), diabetes (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.7, 2.0), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.9, 2.4). The risk in former smokers were significantly less than that of current smokers (HR 1.1, 95% CI 1.01, 1.2). In the adjusted models, current cigarette smoking has a mortality risk that is in the same range of that seen in other "chronic diseases", whereas the risk in former smokers is greatly reduced. These data suggest that current smoking should be approached as aggressively as other chronic diseases that are amenable to interventions.
吸烟是一种可改变的风险因素,具有许多慢性疾病的特征。我们分析了动脉粥样硬化风险社区研究(ARIC)和心血管健康研究(CHS)参与者的纵向数据,并将吸烟与其他慢性疾病进行了比较,以评估对死亡率的影响。我们将分析限于基线时年龄在 45 岁及以上的 20293 名参与者。我们确定了基线时的吸烟状况、糖尿病状况、高血压、心血管疾病(ASCVD)和肺部疾病状况。我们开发了 Cox 比例风险模型,根据年龄、性别和种族以及所有合并疾病进行调整,以确定疾病在长达 13 年的随访期间对死亡率的影响,在随访期间,有 3022 名研究参与者死亡。调整后的比例风险模型发现,吸烟导致死亡的风险比(HR)为 2.0(95%置信区间 [CI] 1.8,2.2)。这与 ASCVD(HR 1.8,95%CI 1.7,2.0)、糖尿病(HR 1.9,95%CI 1.7,2.0)和慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)(HR 2.1,95%CI 1.9,2.4)的死亡率风险相似。前吸烟者的风险明显低于当前吸烟者(HR 1.1,95%CI 1.01,1.2)。在调整后的模型中,当前吸烟导致的死亡率风险与其他“慢性疾病”所见的风险范围相当,而前吸烟者的风险大大降低。这些数据表明,应像干预其他可治疗的慢性疾病一样积极对待当前吸烟。