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非洲消除犬狂犬病的可行性:用数据消除疑虑。

The feasibility of canine rabies elimination in Africa: dispelling doubts with data.

机构信息

Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.

出版信息

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2010 Feb 23;4(2):e626. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000626.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Canine rabies causes many thousands of human deaths every year in Africa, and continues to increase throughout much of the continent.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: This paper identifies four common reasons given for the lack of effective canine rabies control in Africa: (a) a low priority given for disease control as a result of lack of awareness of the rabies burden; (b) epidemiological constraints such as uncertainties about the required levels of vaccination coverage and the possibility of sustained cycles of infection in wildlife; (c) operational constraints including accessibility of dogs for vaccination and insufficient knowledge of dog population sizes for planning of vaccination campaigns; and (d) limited resources for implementation of rabies surveillance and control. We address each of these issues in turn, presenting data from field studies and modelling approaches used in Tanzania, including burden of disease evaluations, detailed epidemiological studies, operational data from vaccination campaigns in different demographic and ecological settings, and economic analyses of the cost-effectiveness of dog vaccination for human rabies prevention.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: We conclude that there are no insurmountable problems to canine rabies control in most of Africa; that elimination of canine rabies is epidemiologically and practically feasible through mass vaccination of domestic dogs; and that domestic dog vaccination provides a cost-effective approach to the prevention and elimination of human rabies deaths.

摘要

背景

在非洲,狂犬病每年导致数千人死亡,而且在该大陆的大部分地区仍在不断增加。

方法/主要发现:本文确定了在非洲缺乏有效狂犬病控制的四个常见原因:(a)由于对狂犬病负担缺乏认识,导致疾病控制的优先级较低;(b)流行病学方面的限制,例如不确定所需的疫苗接种覆盖率水平以及野生动物中持续感染循环的可能性;(c)操作方面的限制,包括为接种疫苗而获得狗的便利性以及对狗群规模的了解不足,无法规划疫苗接种运动;以及(d)实施狂犬病监测和控制的资源有限。我们依次解决了这些问题,介绍了来自坦桑尼亚实地研究和建模方法的数据,包括疾病负担评估、详细的流行病学研究、不同人口统计学和生态环境下疫苗接种运动的运营数据,以及对预防人类狂犬病的犬类疫苗接种的成本效益进行的经济分析。

结论/意义:我们的结论是,在非洲大部分地区,狂犬病的控制没有不可逾越的问题;通过大规模接种家养犬,从流行病学和实际上都可以实现狂犬病的消除;而且,家养犬接种疫苗是预防和消除人类狂犬病死亡的一种具有成本效益的方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/294f/2826407/000e0376ee89/pntd.0000626.g001.jpg

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