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卵巢癌发病率的变化趋势——印度的情况

Changing trends in incidence of ovarian cancer - the Indian scenario.

作者信息

Murthy Nandagudi Srinivasa, Shalini S, Suman G, Pruthvish Srekantaiah, Mathew Aleyamma

机构信息

Department of Community Medicine, MS Ramaiah Medical College, Bangalore, India.

出版信息

Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2009;10(6):1025-30.

Abstract

Ovarian cancer has emerged as one of the most common malignancies affecting women in India. The present communication reports the trends in the incidence rate of ovarian cancer for Indian women. The data published in Cancer Incidence in Five Continents for various Indian registries for different periods and / or publication by the individual registries served as the source material. Mean annual percentage change (MAPC) in rates was computed using relative differences between two time periods. During the period 2001-06, the age-standardized incidence rates (ASR) for ovarian cancer varied from 0.9 to 8.4 per 100,000 person years amongst various registries. The highest incidence was noted in Pune and Delhi registries. The Age Specific Incidence Rate (ASIR) for ovarian cancer revealed that the disease increases from 35 years of age and reaches a peak between the ages 55-64. The trend analysis by period showed an increasing trend in the incidence rate of ovarian cancer in most of the registries, with a mean annual percentage increase in ASR ranged from 0.7% to 2.4 %. Analysis of data by ASIR revealed that the mean annual percentage increase was higher for women in the middle and older age groups in most of the registries. Estimation of annual percent change (EAPC) in ovarian cancer by Poisson regression model through Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for the data of 3 population-based cancer registries vs. Mumbai, Chennai and Bangalore for the period 1983-2002 revealed that linear regression was found to be satisfactory fit between period and incidence rate. Statistically significant increase in EAPC was noted with the crude rate (CR,) ASR, and ASIR for several age-groups. Efforts should be made to detect ovarian cancer at an early stage by educating population about the risk factors. Most of the ovarian cancers are environmental in origin and consequently, at least in principle avoidable.

摘要

卵巢癌已成为印度影响女性的最常见恶性肿瘤之一。本报告阐述了印度女性卵巢癌发病率的趋势。不同时期各大洲癌症发病率报告中印度各登记处发布的数据以及各登记处单独发布的数据作为源材料。发病率的年均百分比变化(MAPC)通过两个时间段的相对差异计算得出。在2001 - 2006年期间,各登记处卵巢癌的年龄标准化发病率(ASR)为每10万人年0.9至8.4例。浦那和德里登记处的发病率最高。卵巢癌的年龄别发病率(ASIR)显示,该疾病从35岁开始增加,在55 - 64岁之间达到峰值。按时间段进行的趋势分析表明,大多数登记处的卵巢癌发病率呈上升趋势,年龄标准化发病率的年均百分比增幅在0.7%至2.4%之间。按年龄别发病率对数据进行分析表明,大多数登记处中年和老年女性的年均百分比增幅更高。通过最大似然估计(MLE),利用泊松回归模型对1983 - 2002年期间3个基于人群的癌症登记处与孟买、钦奈和班加罗尔的数据进行卵巢癌年度百分比变化(EAPC)估计,结果显示时间段与发病率之间的线性回归拟合良好。几个年龄组的粗发病率(CR)、年龄标准化发病率(ASR)和年龄别发病率(ASIR)的EAPC均有统计学显著增加。应通过对人群进行风险因素教育,努力在早期发现卵巢癌。大多数卵巢癌起源于环境因素,因此至少在原则上是可以避免的。

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