Santa Ana Hospital, Motril, Granada, Spain.
Intensive Care Med. 2010 Sep;36(9):1579-86. doi: 10.1007/s00134-010-1832-6. Epub 2010 Mar 24.
To analyse the influence on the prognosis of intensive care unit (ICU) patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI): prognostic index score, Killip class, AMI site, thrombolysis and other variables that might improve prognostic capacity and functioning of the APACHE-II index.
Cohort study using prospectively gathered ARIAM project data.
ICUs from 129 Spanish hospitals.
ICU-admitted AMI patients in ARIAM database during 4-year period were retrospectively studied.
The sample comprised 6,458 patients, 76.8% males, age 64.97 +/- 12.56 years, APACHE-II score 9.49 +/- 7.03 points and ICU mortality 8.9%. Mortality was higher for females (p < 0.001), anterior AMI site (p < 0.001), previous AMI (p < 0.001), delay-to-hospital arrival >180 min (p = 0.003) and non-receipt of thrombolysis (p = 0.015). ICU mortality was related to age (p < 0.001) and APACHE-II score (p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, it was related to APACHE-II (OR 1.16), age (OR 1.05), gender (OR 1.64), previous AMI (OR 1.57), anterior AMI (OR 2.05) and delay >180 min (OR 1.37). Killip class, gathered in 1,893 patients, was significantly associated with ICU mortality, and two predictive models were constructed for this group using multivariate analysis. Area under ROC curve was 0.94 in one (Killip class, age, gender, APACHE-II) versus 0.92 in the other (same variables without APACHE-II).
APACHE-II score and Killip class are useful for assessing the severity of patients with AMI and are complementary. Each can be used with a few commonly gathered clinical variables to construct prognostic models to assess severity. Their joint application yields a model with excellent discrimination capacity.
分析急性心肌梗死(AMI)患者入住重症监护病房(ICU)的预后影响因素:预后指数评分、Killip 分级、AMI 部位、溶栓治疗和其他可能改善预后能力和急性生理与慢性健康评分(APACHE)-II 指数功能的变量。
使用前瞻性收集的 ARIAM 项目数据进行队列研究。
西班牙 129 家医院的 ICU。
在 4 年期间,ARIAM 数据库中入住 ICU 的 AMI 患者被回顾性研究。
样本包括 6458 名患者,76.8%为男性,年龄 64.97±12.56 岁,APACHE-II 评分为 9.49±7.03 分,ICU 死亡率为 8.9%。女性死亡率较高(p<0.001),前壁 AMI 部位(p<0.001)、既往 AMI(p<0.001)、到达医院时间延迟>180 分钟(p=0.003)和未接受溶栓治疗(p=0.015)。ICU 死亡率与年龄(p<0.001)和 APACHE-II 评分(p<0.001)相关。多变量分析显示,它与 APACHE-II(OR 1.16)、年龄(OR 1.05)、性别(OR 1.64)、既往 AMI(OR 1.57)、前壁 AMI(OR 2.05)和>180 分钟延迟(OR 1.37)相关。在 1893 名患者中收集的 Killip 分级与 ICU 死亡率显著相关,并使用多变量分析为该组构建了两个预测模型。ROC 曲线下面积在一个模型(Killip 分级、年龄、性别、APACHE-II)中为 0.94,在另一个模型(无 APACHE-II 的相同变量)中为 0.92。
APACHE-II 评分和 Killip 分级可用于评估 AMI 患者的严重程度,且二者互补。两者都可以使用一些常见的临床变量来构建预后模型来评估严重程度。联合应用可以获得具有出色区分能力的模型。