Suppr超能文献

具有非线性传染力的传染病模型。

Epidemic models with nonlinear infection forces.

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Southwest Normal University, Chongqing, 400715, PR China.

出版信息

Math Biosci Eng. 2006 Jan;3(1):267-79. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2006.3.267.

Abstract

Epidemic models with behavior changes are studied to consider effects of protection measures and intervention policies. It is found that intervention strategies decrease endemic levels and tend to make the dynamical behavior of a disease evolution simpler. For a saturated infection force, the model may admit a stable disease-free equilibrium and a stable endemic equilibrium at the same time. If we vary a recovery rate, numerical simulations show that the boundaries of the region for the persistence of the disease undergo the changes from the separatrix of a saddle to an unstable limit cycle. If the inhibition effect from behavior changes is weak, we find two limit cycles and obtain bifurcations of the model as the population size changes. We also find that the disease may die out although there are two endemic equilibria.

摘要

研究了考虑保护措施和干预政策影响的具有行为变化的传染病模型。研究发现,干预策略可以降低地方病水平,并使疾病演化的动力学行为变得更简单。对于饱和感染强度,模型可能同时存在一个稳定的无病平衡点和一个稳定的地方病平衡点。如果我们改变恢复率,数值模拟表明,疾病持续存在的区域边界从鞍形的分岔曲线变为不稳定的极限环。如果行为变化的抑制作用较弱,我们发现了两个极限环,并随着种群规模的变化得到了模型的分岔。我们还发现,尽管存在两个地方病平衡点,疾病也可能会灭绝。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验