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性别差异对全生命周期成人行人不安全穿越决策预测因素的影响:一项模拟研究。

Gender differences in factors predicting unsafe crossing decisions in adult pedestrians across the lifespan: a simulation study.

机构信息

School of Life & Health Sciences, Aston University, UK.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2010 Jul;42(4):1097-106. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2009.12.023. Epub 2010 Jan 12.

Abstract

Adult pedestrian accident data has demonstrated that the risk of being killed or seriously injured varies with age and gender. A range of factors affecting road crossing choices of 218 adults aged 17-90+ were examined in a simulation study using filmed real traffic. With increasing age, women were shown to make more unsafe crossing decisions, to leave small safety margins and to become poorer at estimating their walking speed. However, the age effects on all of these were ameliorated by driving experience. Men differed from women in that age was not a major factor in predicting unsafe crossing decisions. Rather, reduced mobility was the key factor, leading them to make more unsafe crossings and delay longer in leaving the kerb. For men, driving experience did not predict unsafe road crossing decisions. Although male drivers were more likely to look both ways before crossing than male non-drivers, the impact of being a driver had a negative effect in terms of smaller safety margins and delay in leaving the kerb. The implications of the different predictor variables for men and women for unsafe road crossing are discussed and possible reasons for the differences explored.

摘要

成人行人事故数据表明,死亡或重伤的风险因年龄和性别而异。在一项使用真实交通拍摄的模拟研究中,研究了 218 名 17-90 岁以上成年人的一系列影响道路穿越选择的因素。随着年龄的增长,女性做出的不安全穿越决策更多,留给自己的安全余地更小,对自己行走速度的估计也变得更差。然而,驾驶经验减轻了这些因素对所有年龄段的影响。男性与女性的不同之处在于,年龄并不是预测不安全穿越决策的主要因素。相反,行动不便才是关键因素,导致他们做出更多不安全的穿越行为,在离开路缘石时也会延迟更长时间。对于男性来说,驾驶经验并不能预测不安全的道路穿越决策。尽管男性司机在穿越前比男性非司机更有可能左右看,但作为司机的影响却导致他们留给自己的安全余地更小,离开路缘石的时间也更晚。讨论了不同预测变量对男女不安全道路穿越的影响,并探讨了产生这些差异的可能原因。

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