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对爱荷华州公共道路系统中农用车辆碰撞伤害严重程度的实证分析。

An empirical analysis of farm vehicle crash injury severities on Iowa's public road system.

机构信息

Civil, Construction & Environmental Engineering, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011-3232, USA.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2010 Jul;42(4):1392-7. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2010.03.003. Epub 2010 Mar 30.

Abstract

Farm vehicle crashes are a major safety concern for farmers as well as all other users of the public road system in agricultural states. Using data on farm vehicle crashes that occurred on Iowa's public roads between 2004 and 2006, we estimate a multinomial logit model to identify crash-, farm vehicle-, and driver-specific factors that determine farm vehicle crash injury severity outcomes. Estimation findings indicate that there are crash patterns (rear-end manner of collision; single-vehicle crash; farm vehicle crossed the centerline or median) and conditions (obstructed vision and crash in rural area; dry road, dark lighting, speed limit 55 mph or higher, and harvesting season), as well as farm vehicle and driver-contributing characteristics (old farm vehicle, young farm vehicle driver), where targeted intervention can help reduce the severity of crash outcomes. Determining these contributing factors and their effect is the first step to identifying countermeasures and safety strategies in a bid to improve transportation safety for all users on the public road system in Iowa as well as other agricultural states.

摘要

农用车辆事故是农民以及农业州公共道路系统所有其他使用者的主要安全关注点。利用 2004 年至 2006 年爱荷华州公共道路上发生的农用车辆事故数据,我们估计了一个多项逻辑回归模型,以确定导致农用车辆碰撞伤害严重程度结果的事故、农用车辆和驾驶员特定因素。估计结果表明,存在一些碰撞模式(追尾碰撞方式;单车事故;农用车辆越过中心线或中央分隔带)和条件(视线受阻和农村地区发生事故;干燥路面、光线昏暗、限速 55 英里/小时或更高以及收获季节),以及农用车辆和驾驶员的一些特征(老旧的农用车辆、年轻的农用车辆驾驶员),有针对性的干预措施可以帮助降低事故严重程度。确定这些因素及其影响是确定对策和安全策略的第一步,目的是改善爱荷华州以及其他农业州公共道路系统上所有使用者的交通安全性。

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