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临床医学中的收益递减规律:降低多少风险才足够?

The law of diminishing returns in clinical medicine: how much risk reduction is enough?

机构信息

the Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, OK 73104, USA.

出版信息

J Am Board Fam Med. 2010 May-Jun;23(3):371-5. doi: 10.3122/jabfm.2010.03.090178.

Abstract

The law of diminishing returns, first described by economists to explain why, beyond a certain point, additional inputs produce smaller and smaller outputs, offers insight into many situations encountered in clinical medicine. For example, when the risk of an adverse event can be reduced in several different ways, the impact of each intervention can generally be shown mathematically to be reduced by the previous ones. The diminishing value of successive interventions is further reduced by adverse consequences (eg, drug-drug, drug-disease, and drug-nutrient interactions), as well as by the total expenditures of time, energy, and resources, which increase with each additional intervention. It is therefore important to try to prioritize interventions based on patient-centered goals and the relative impact and acceptability of the interventions. We believe that this has implications for clinical practice, research, and policy.

摘要

收益递减规律最初由经济学家用来解释为什么在某一点之后,额外的投入只会带来越来越小的产出,该规律也为临床医学中遇到的许多情况提供了启示。例如,当可以通过多种不同方式降低不良事件的风险时,通常可以通过数学方法表明,之前的干预措施会降低每种干预措施的效果。连续干预的效果会因不良后果(例如药物-药物、药物-疾病和药物-营养相互作用)以及时间、精力和资源的总支出而进一步降低,因为这些因素会随着每次额外干预而增加。因此,根据以患者为中心的目标以及干预措施的相对影响和可接受性,尝试对干预措施进行优先级排序非常重要。我们认为,这对临床实践、研究和政策都具有重要意义。

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