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酒后驾车者延迟驾照恢复:一个问题?

DUI offenders delay license reinstatement: a problem?

机构信息

Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, Calverton, Maryland 20705-3111, USA.

出版信息

Alcohol Clin Exp Res. 2010 Jul;34(7):1282-90. doi: 10.1111/j.1530-0277.2010.01206.x. Epub 2010 May 4.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

We examined the extent to which driving under the influence (DUI) offenders delay reinstatement, the reasons for that delay, and the relationship of the delay to recidivism. Analyzed were the driving records of 40 million drivers (3 million convicted of DUI) from 7 of the largest states spanning 7 to 14 years. License suspension effectively reduces, but does not eliminate, impaired driving. Apparently, many feel they can avoid apprehension for unlicensed driving; the limited research to date suggests that up to 75% of convicted offenders continue to drive and up to 84% delay reinstatement for 3 or more years.

METHODS

ANOVA and regression procedures were used to determine the relationship of prior driving record and sentence length to the DUI offender's delay in reinstatement. Meta-analysis was used to summarize results across the 7 states and survival analysis to determine the effect of the delay on recidivism.

RESULTS

Forty-two percent of first offenders and 55% of multiple offenders convicted for DUI delay reinstatement for more than a year. For a third of the offenders, there were no records of their having reinstated within 5 years of becoming eligible. Both factors-more than one prior offense and the length of suspension imposed-were related to delay in reinstatement. Offenders who delayed reinstatement were more likely to recidivate both while they delayed before reinstating and after they reinstated.

CONCLUSIONS

DUI offenders who delay reinstatement after they become eligible are high-risk drivers. Offenders who reinstate, however, have lower recidivism rates than those who do not. This suggests that encouraging reinstatement but with continued controls, as some states have provided through laws requiring interlocks as a condition of reinstatement, may be effective if they do not motivate extended delays.

摘要

背景

我们研究了酒后驾车(DUI)罪犯延迟恢复驾驶资格的程度、延迟的原因,以及延迟与再犯罪的关系。分析了来自 7 个最大的州的 4000 万名驾驶员(300 万名被判酒后驾车)的驾驶记录,时间跨度为 7 至 14 年。吊销驾照确实可以减少,但不能消除酒后驾车行为。显然,许多人认为他们可以避免因无照驾驶而被捕;迄今为止有限的研究表明,多达 75%的被判有罪的罪犯仍在继续开车,多达 84%的罪犯延迟恢复驾驶资格超过 3 年。

方法

使用方差分析和回归程序来确定先前的驾驶记录和刑期长度与 DUI 罪犯延迟恢复驾驶资格之间的关系。使用荟萃分析总结 7 个州的结果,并使用生存分析来确定延迟对再犯罪的影响。

结果

42%的初犯者和 55%的多次酒后驾车被判有罪者延迟恢复驾驶资格超过一年。三分之一的罪犯在有资格恢复 5 年内没有恢复记录。两个因素——不止一次犯罪和吊销期限——都与延迟恢复有关。延迟恢复驾驶资格的罪犯在延迟恢复前和恢复后都更有可能再次犯罪。

结论

在有资格恢复驾驶资格后延迟恢复的 DUI 罪犯是高风险的驾驶员。然而,那些恢复驾驶资格的罪犯的再犯罪率低于那些没有恢复驾驶资格的罪犯。这表明,如果不鼓励延长延迟,鼓励恢复驾驶资格,但同时继续控制,如一些州通过要求作为恢复条件的互锁来提供的法律,可能是有效的。

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