Institute of Botany, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, CZ-252 43 Průhonice, Czech Republic.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2010 Jul 6;107(27):12157-62. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1002314107. Epub 2010 Jun 7.
The accelerating rates of international trade, travel, and transport in the latter half of the twentieth century have led to the progressive mixing of biota from across the world and the number of species introduced to new regions continues to increase. The importance of biogeographic, climatic, economic, and demographic factors as drivers of this trend is increasingly being realized but as yet there is no consensus regarding their relative importance. Whereas little may be done to mitigate the effects of geography and climate on invasions, a wider range of options may exist to moderate the impacts of economic and demographic drivers. Here we use the most recent data available from Europe to partition between macroecological, economic, and demographic variables the variation in alien species richness of bryophytes, fungi, vascular plants, terrestrial insects, aquatic invertebrates, fish, amphibians, reptiles, birds, and mammals. Only national wealth and human population density were statistically significant predictors in the majority of models when analyzed jointly with climate, geography, and land cover. The economic and demographic variables reflect the intensity of human activities and integrate the effect of factors that directly determine the outcome of invasion such as propagule pressure, pathways of introduction, eutrophication, and the intensity of anthropogenic disturbance. The strong influence of economic and demographic variables on the levels of invasion by alien species demonstrates that future solutions to the problem of biological invasions at a national scale lie in mitigating the negative environmental consequences of human activities that generate wealth and by promoting more sustainable population growth.
在 20 世纪后半叶,国际贸易、旅行和运输的速度不断加快,导致来自世界各地的生物群逐渐混合,引入新地区的物种数量继续增加。生物地理、气候、经济和人口因素作为推动这一趋势的驱动力的重要性越来越被认识,但它们的相对重要性尚未达成共识。虽然可能无法减轻地理和气候对入侵的影响,但对于经济和人口驱动因素的影响,可能存在更多的选择来进行调节。在这里,我们使用欧洲最新的可用数据,将宏观生态、经济和人口变量与苔藓植物、真菌、维管植物、陆生昆虫、水生无脊椎动物、鱼类、两栖动物、爬行动物、鸟类和哺乳动物的外来物种丰富度的变化进行了划分。在大多数模型中,只有国家财富和人口密度与气候、地理和土地覆盖一起分析时,才是统计学上的显著预测因子。经济和人口变量反映了人类活动的强度,并综合了直接决定入侵结果的因素的影响,如繁殖体压力、引入途径、富营养化和人为干扰的强度。经济和人口变量对外来物种入侵水平的强烈影响表明,在国家范围内解决生物入侵问题的未来解决方案在于减轻人类活动产生财富所带来的环境负面影响,并促进更可持续的人口增长。