Department of Economics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195-3330, USA.
J Health Econ. 2010 Sep;29(5):732-42. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2010.06.005. Epub 2010 Jun 25.
Are demand-side interventions effective at curbing drug use? To the extent demand-side programs are successful, their cost effectiveness can be appealing from a policy perspective. Established in 2005, the Montana Meth Project (MMP) employs a graphic advertising campaign to deter meth use among teens. Due to the MMP's apparent success, seven other states have adopted Meth Project campaigns. Using data from the Youth Risk Behavior Surveys (YRBS), this paper investigates whether the MMP reduced methamphetamine use among Montana's youth. When accounting for a preexisting downward trend in meth use, effects on meth use are statistically indistinguishable from zero. These results are robust to using related changes of meth use among individuals without exposure to the campaign as controls in a difference-in-difference framework. A complementary analysis of treatment admissions data from the Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS) confirms the MMP has had no discernable impact on meth use.
需求侧干预措施在遏制药物使用方面有效吗?从政策角度来看,在需求侧计划取得成功的情况下,其成本效益可能具有吸引力。蒙大拿州甲基苯丙胺项目 (MMP) 成立于 2005 年,采用图形广告活动来阻止青少年使用冰毒。由于 MMP 显然取得了成功,其他七个州也采用了 Meth Project 运动。本文利用青少年风险行为调查 (YRBS) 的数据,研究 MMP 是否减少了蒙大拿州青少年使用甲基苯丙胺的情况。在考虑到冰毒使用的先前下降趋势时,对冰毒使用的影响在统计上与零无差异。在差异中的差异框架中,使用未接触运动的个体中冰毒使用的相关变化作为对照,这些结果是稳健的。对治疗摄入数据集 (TEDS) 中的治疗入院数据进行的补充分析证实,MMP 对冰毒使用没有明显影响。