Tamborini Christopher R, Whitman Kevin
Social Security Administration, Office of Retirement Policy, Washington, DC 20254, USA.
J Women Aging. 2010;22(3):184-203. doi: 10.1080/08952841.2010.495565.
A number of alternatives to Social Security's auxiliary benefit system have been proposed in the context of changes in American family and work patterns. This article focuses on one modification therein-lowering the 10-year duration-of-marriage requirement for divorced spouses. Using a powerful microsimulation model (MINT), we examine the distributional effects of extending spouse and survivor benefit eligibility to 5- and 7-year marriages ending in divorce among female retirees in 2030, a population largely comprised of baby boomers. Results show that the options would increase benefits for a small share of female retirees, around 2 to 4%, and would not affect the vast majority of low-income divorced older women. However, of those affected, the options would substantially increase benefits and lower incidence of poverty and near poor. Low-income divorced retirees with marriages between 5 and 9 years in length and a deceased former spouse face the greatest potential gains.
在美国家庭和工作模式发生变化的背景下,人们提出了一些替代社会保障辅助福利制度的方案。本文重点关注其中一项修改——降低离婚配偶的10年婚姻期限要求。我们使用一个强大的微观模拟模型(MINT),研究了在2030年将配偶和遗属福利资格扩展至婚姻持续5年和7年并以离婚告终的女性退休人员的分配效应,这一群体主要由婴儿潮一代组成。结果表明,这些方案将使一小部分女性退休人员(约2%至4%)的福利增加,且不会影响绝大多数低收入离婚老年女性。然而,在受影响的人群中,这些方案将大幅增加福利,并降低贫困和接近贫困的发生率。婚姻持续5至9年且前配偶已故的低收入离婚退休人员面临的潜在收益最大。