School of Forestry & Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut 06511, USA.
J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol. 2011 Jul-Aug;21(4):372-84. doi: 10.1038/jes.2010.24. Epub 2010 Jul 28.
Studies of the health impacts of airborne particulates' chemical constituents typically assume spatial homogeneity and estimate exposure from ambient monitors. However, factors such as local sources may cause spatially heterogeneous pollution levels. This work examines the degree to which constituent levels vary within communities and whether exposure misclassification is introduced by spatial homogeneity assumptions. Analysis considered PM(2.5) elemental carbon (EC), organic carbon matter, ammonium, sulfate, nitrate, silicon, and sodium ion (Na(+)) for the United States, 1999-2007. Pearson correlations and coefficients of divergence were calculated and compared to distances among monitors. Linear modeling related correlations to distance between monitors, long-term constituent levels, and population density. Spatial heterogeneity was present for all constituents, yet lower for ammonium, sulfate, and nitrate. Lower correlations were associated with higher distance between monitors, especially for nitrate and sulfate, and with lower long-term levels, especially for sulfate and Na(+). Analysis of colocated monitors revealed measurement error for all constituents, especially EC and Na(+). Exposure misclassification may be introduced into epidemiological studies of PM(2.5) constituents due to spatial variability, and is affected by constituent type and level. When assessing health effects of PM constituents, new methods are needed for estimating exposure and accounting for exposure error induced by spatial variability.
研究空气中颗粒物化学成分对健康的影响通常假设空间均一,并根据环境监测器来估计暴露量。然而,局部污染源等因素可能导致污染水平在空间上存在异质性。本研究考察了组成成分在社区内的变化程度,以及空间均一性假设是否会导致暴露分类错误。分析考虑了美国 1999-2007 年 PM(2.5)元素碳(EC)、有机碳质、铵、硫酸盐、硝酸盐、硅和钠离子(Na+)。计算了皮尔逊相关系数和离散系数,并与监测器之间的距离进行了比较。线性模型将相关性与监测器之间的距离、长期成分水平和人口密度联系起来。所有成分都存在空间异质性,但铵、硫酸盐和硝酸盐的异质性较低。监测器之间的距离越大、长期成分水平越低、特别是硫酸盐和 Na+,相关系数越低。对共置监测器的分析表明,所有成分都存在测量误差,特别是 EC 和 Na+。由于空间变异性,PM(2.5)成分的流行病学研究可能会引入暴露分类错误,并且受成分类型和水平的影响。在评估 PM 成分对健康的影响时,需要新的方法来估计暴露量,并考虑空间变异性引起的暴露误差。