Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland 20852, USA.
Radiat Res. 2010 Jul;174(1):83-90. doi: 10.1667/RR2022.1.
We studied cancer mortality in a cohort of 5,573 women with scoliosis and other spine disorders who were diagnosed between 1912 and 1965 and were exposed to frequent diagnostic X-ray procedures. Patients were identified from medical records in 14 orthopedic medical centers in the United States and followed for vital status and address through December 31, 2004, using publicly available regional, state and nationwide databases. Causes of death were obtained from death certificates or through linkage with the National Death Index (NDI). Statistical analyses included standardized mortality ratios (SMR = observed/expected) based on death rates for U.S. females and internal comparisons using Cox regression models with attained age as the time scale. Diagnostic radiation exposure was estimated from radiology files for over 137,000 procedures; estimated average cumulative radiation doses to the breast, lung, thyroid and bone marrow were 10.9, 4.1, 7.4 and 1.0 cGy, respectively. After a median follow-up period of 47 years, 1527 women died, including 355 from cancer. Cancer mortality was 8% higher than expected (95% CI = 0.97-1.20). Mortality from breast cancer was significantly elevated (SMR = 1.68; 95% CI: 1.38-2.02), whereas death rates from several other cancers were below expectation, in particular lung (SMR = 0.77), cervical (SMR = 0.31), and liver (SMR = 0.17). The excess relative risk (ERR) for breast cancer mortality increased significantly with 10-year lagged radiation dose to the breast (ERR/Gy = 3.9; 95% CI: 1.0-9.3).
我们研究了一个队列中的 5573 名患有脊柱侧凸和其他脊柱疾病的女性的癌症死亡率,这些女性在 1912 年至 1965 年间被诊断出患有脊柱侧凸和其他脊柱疾病,并接受了频繁的诊断 X 射线检查。这些患者是从美国 14 个骨科医疗中心的病历中确定的,并通过公开的区域、州和全国数据库,跟踪到 2004 年 12 月 31 日的生存状况和地址。通过死亡证明或与国家死亡索引(NDI)的链接获取死因。统计分析包括基于美国女性死亡率的标准化死亡率比(SMR=观察/预期),以及使用 Cox 回归模型的内部比较,以达到年龄为时间尺度。从超过 137000 次放射学检查的放射学档案中估算出诊断性辐射暴露量;估计的乳房、肺、甲状腺和骨髓的平均累积辐射剂量分别为 10.9、4.1、7.4 和 1.0 cGy。在中位数为 47 年的随访期后,有 1527 名女性死亡,其中 355 人死于癌症。癌症死亡率比预期高 8%(95%CI=0.97-1.20)。乳腺癌死亡率显著升高(SMR=1.68;95%CI:1.38-2.02),而其他几种癌症的死亡率低于预期,特别是肺癌(SMR=0.77)、宫颈癌(SMR=0.31)和肝癌(SMR=0.17)。乳腺癌死亡率的超额相对风险(ERR)随着乳房 10 年滞后辐射剂量的增加而显著增加(ERR/Gy=3.9;95%CI:1.0-9.3)。