Doody M M, Mandel J S, Lubin J H, Boice J D
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.
Cancer Causes Control. 1998 Jan;9(1):67-75. doi: 10.1023/a:1008801404245.
The possible mortality risk from low level chronic exposures to ionizing radiation was evaluated among 143,517 United States radiologic technologists certified by the American Registry of Radiologic Technologists between 1926-80. This is one of the few occupational studies of primarily women (73 percent) exposed to radiation during their employment. More than 2.8 million person-years of follow-up were accrued through 1990, and 7,345 deaths were identified. A strong healthy-worker effect was observed (standardized mortality ratios [SMR] for all causes and all cancers were 0.69 and 0.79, respectively). Lung cancer (429 deaths) was not increased with available measures of radiation exposure and no significant associations were observed for acute, myelogenous, and monocytic leukemia (74 deaths). Relative to the general population, the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for female breast cancer was 0.99 (based on 425 deaths); however, breast cancer was significantly elevated relative to all other cancers in a test of homogeneity of SMRs (ratio of SMRs = 1.3, P < 0.0001). Significant risks were correlated with employment before 1940 (SMR = 1.5; 95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 1.2-1.9), when radiation doses were likely highest, and among women certified for more than 30 years (SMR = 1.4, CI = 1.2-1.7) for whom the cumulative exposure was likely greatest. Using an internal referent group, risk increased with duration of certification among the 1,890 women certified before 1940 (P-trend < 0.001). While the findings for breast cancer are consistent with a radiation effect, possible misclassification in exposure (based on number of years certified) and potential confounding associated with reproductive histories preclude a causal conclusion.
在1926年至1980年间由美国放射技师登记处认证的143,517名美国放射技师中,评估了低水平慢性暴露于电离辐射可能带来的死亡风险。这是为数不多的主要针对女性(73%)在职期间接触辐射的职业研究之一。到1990年累积了超过280万人年的随访数据,共确认7345例死亡。观察到明显的健康工人效应(所有原因和所有癌症的标准化死亡比[SMR]分别为0.69和0.79)。肺癌(429例死亡)与可用的辐射暴露测量指标无关,急性髓性白血病和单核细胞白血病(74例死亡)也未观察到显著关联。相对于一般人群,女性乳腺癌的标准化死亡比(SMR)为0.99(基于425例死亡);然而,在SMR同质性检验中,乳腺癌相对于所有其他癌症显著升高(SMR比值=1.3,P<0.0001)。显著风险与1940年前的工作经历相关(SMR=1.5;95%置信区间[CI]=1.2 - 1.9),当时辐射剂量可能最高,也与认证超过30年的女性相关(SMR=1.4,CI=1.2 - 1.7),她们的累积暴露可能最大。以内部参照组为基础,在1940年前认证的1890名女性中,风险随认证时长增加(P趋势<0.001)。虽然乳腺癌的研究结果与辐射效应一致,但暴露方面可能的错误分类(基于认证年限)以及与生殖史相关的潜在混杂因素排除了因果结论。