TB and Chest Service, Department of Health, Hong Kong, China, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Int J Epidemiol. 2011 Feb;40(1):174-82. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyq134. Epub 2010 Aug 12.
Malignancy is the leading cause of death in Hong Kong, and lung cancer tops the list of all cancer deaths.
A cohort of clients aged ≥65 years, enrolled at 18 elderly health centres in Hong Kong from 2000 to 2003, was followed up prospectively through linkage with the territory-wide death registry for causes of death until 31 December 2008, using the identity card number as unique identifier. All subjects with suspected cancer, significant weight loss of >5% within past 6 months or obstructive lung disease at the baseline were excluded.
After a total of 423 061 person-years of follow-up, 932, 690 and 1433 deaths were caused by lung cancer, other tobacco-related malignancies and non-tobacco-related malignancies, respectively. Body mass index (BMI) was independently (and negatively) associated with death from lung cancer after adjustment for other baseline variables, whereas there was only a minor or no effect for other smoking-related malignancies and non-tobacco-related malignancies. Obesity with BMI ≥30 [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 0.55, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.38-0.80] was associated with reduced lung cancer mortality, which was more prominent than the opposing effect of underweight (adjusted HR, 1.38, 95% CI 1.05-1.79). Consistent effects of BMI were observed after stratification into never-smokers and ever-smokers and in sensitivity analysis after excluding deaths within the first 3 years.
Obesity was associated with lower lung cancer mortality in this prospective cohort analysis. As the effect was rather specific for lung cancer, further studies are indicated to explore the underlying mechanism.
恶性肿瘤是香港的主要致死病因,而肺癌则位列所有癌症死因之首。
这项前瞻性队列研究纳入了 2000 年至 2003 年期间在香港 18 家老年健康中心登记的年龄≥65 岁的患者,通过与全港死因登记处进行链接,使用身份证号码作为唯一识别码,对所有死因进行了为期 8 年的随访。所有疑似癌症患者、过去 6 个月内体重下降超过 5%或基线时有阻塞性肺病的患者均被排除在外。
在总计 423061 人年的随访期间,肺癌、其他与烟草相关的恶性肿瘤和非烟草相关的恶性肿瘤分别导致 932、690 和 1433 例患者死亡。在校正其他基线变量后,体质指数(BMI)与肺癌死亡独立相关(呈负相关),而对于其他与吸烟相关的恶性肿瘤和非烟草相关的恶性肿瘤,BMI 仅存在较小或无影响。肥胖(BMI≥30)[校正后的危险比(HR)为 0.55,95%置信区间(CI)为 0.38-0.80]与肺癌死亡率降低相关,其作用比消瘦(BMI<18.5)更为显著(校正 HR 为 1.38,95% CI 为 1.05-1.79)。在校正从不吸烟者和曾吸烟者分层后以及在排除前 3 年死亡的敏感性分析中,均观察到 BMI 的一致影响。
在这项前瞻性队列分析中,肥胖与较低的肺癌死亡率相关。由于该效应对于肺癌较为特异,需要进一步的研究来探索其潜在机制。