Transport Research Centre, Lísenská 33a, Brno 636 00, Czech Republic.
Accid Anal Prev. 2010 Nov;42(6):1632-6. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2010.04.001. Epub 2010 Apr 27.
This article evaluates, by means of multivariate regression, critical factors influencing the collisions of motor vehicles with adult (over 17 years) cyclists that result in fatal injury of cyclists. The analysis is based on the database of the Traffic Police of Czech Republic from the time period 1995-2007. The results suggest that the most consequential categories of factors under study are: inappropriate driving speed of automobile; the head-on crash; and night-time traffic in places without streetlights. The cyclists' faults are of most serious consequence on crossroads when cyclists deny the right of way. Males are more likely to suffer a fatal injury due to a collision with a car than females. The most vulnerable age group are cyclists above 65 years. A fatal injury of a cyclist is more often driver's fault than cyclist's (598 vs. 370). In order to reduce the fatal risk, it is recommended to separate the road traffic of motor vehicles from bicyclists in critical road-sections; or, at least, to reduce speed limits there.
本文通过多元回归分析，评估了影响机动车与成年（17 岁以上）自行车骑行者碰撞并导致骑行者致命伤害的关键因素。该分析基于捷克共和国交通警察在 1995 年至 2007 年期间的数据库。结果表明，在所研究的因素中，最具影响力的类别是：汽车行驶速度不当；正面碰撞；以及无路灯的夜间交通。在没有交通信号灯的十字路口，当自行车骑行者拒绝让行时，自行车骑行者的过错后果最为严重。男性因与汽车碰撞而遭受致命伤害的可能性大于女性。最脆弱的年龄组是 65 岁以上的自行车骑行者。与自行车骑行者相比，司机更有可能对致命事故负有责任（598 比 370）。为了降低致命风险，建议在关键路段将机动车和自行车骑行者的道路交通分开；或者至少在那里降低限速。
