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应用动态规划计算奶牛不同跛行类型的成本。

The cost of different types of lameness in dairy cows calculated by dynamic programming.

机构信息

Section of Epidemiology, Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2010 Oct 1;97(1):1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2010.07.011.

Abstract

Traditionally, studies which placed a monetary value on the effect of lameness have calculated the costs at the herd level and rarely have they been specific to different types of lameness. These costs which have been calculated from former studies are not particularly useful for farmers in making economically optimal decisions depending on individual cow characteristics. The objective of this study was to calculate the cost of different types of lameness at the individual cow level and thereby identify the optimal management decision for each of three representative lameness diagnoses. This model would provide a more informed decision making process in lameness management for maximal economic profitability. We made modifications to an existing dynamic optimization and simulation model, studying the effects of various factors (incidence of lameness, milk loss, pregnancy rate and treatment cost) on the cost of different types of lameness. The average cost per case (US$) of sole ulcer, digital dermatitis and foot rot were 216.07, 132.96 and 120.70, respectively. It was recommended that 97.3% of foot rot cases, 95.5% of digital dermatitis cases and 92.3% of sole ulcer cases be treated. The main contributor to the total cost per case of sole ulcer was milk loss (38%), treatment cost for digital dermatitis (42%) and the effect of decreased fertility for foot rot (50%). This model affords versatility as it allows for parameters such as production costs, economic values and disease frequencies to be altered. Therefore, cost estimates are the direct outcome of the farm specific parameters entered into the model. Thus, this model can provide farmers economically optimal guidelines specific to their individual cows suffering from different types of lameness.

摘要

传统上,将跛行影响货币化的研究是在畜群水平上计算成本的,而且很少针对不同类型的跛行进行具体计算。这些根据以往研究计算出的成本对于农民来说,在根据每头奶牛的个体特征做出经济最优决策时,并没有特别有用。本研究的目的是在个体奶牛水平上计算不同类型跛行的成本,从而为三种代表性跛行诊断中的每一种确定最佳管理决策。该模型将为跛行管理提供更明智的决策过程,以实现最大的经济效益。我们对现有的动态优化和模拟模型进行了修改,研究了各种因素(跛行发生率、牛奶损失、妊娠率和治疗成本)对不同类型跛行成本的影响。足底溃疡、趾间皮炎和腐蹄病的每例平均成本(美元)分别为 216.07、132.96 和 120.70。建议对 97.3%的腐蹄病病例、95.5%的趾间皮炎病例和 92.3%的足底溃疡病例进行治疗。足底溃疡每例总成本的主要贡献者是牛奶损失(38%)、趾间皮炎的治疗费用(42%)和腐蹄病降低生育力的影响(50%)。该模型具有多功能性,因为它允许更改生产成本、经济价值和疾病频率等参数。因此,成本估算直接反映了模型中输入的农场特定参数。因此,该模型可以为患有不同类型跛行的每头奶牛提供特定于农民的经济最优指南。

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