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麻疹疫苗接种——我们的目标接种率应为多少?

Measles vaccination--what percentage uptake must we aim for?

作者信息

Comiskey C M

机构信息

School of Mathematical Sciences, Dublin City University, Glasnevin.

出版信息

Ir Med J. 1990 Dec;83(4):155-7.

PMID:2081673
Abstract

The estimation and derivation of the average age of infection with measles among Irish children is discussed. We found that this equals 3.14 years, a figure that is considerably lower than that of other European countries particularly Britain. The average age of vaccination of children in Irish communities was 2.6 years. The reproductive rate of the disease was defined as the average number of secondary cases produced by one infectious individual in a community. From this, we extrapolate estimates for the proportion we need to vaccinate in order to eradicate measles in Ireland, which is in the region of 95% to 96%. In practice this level may be very difficult to achieve.

摘要

本文讨论了爱尔兰儿童麻疹感染平均年龄的估计和推导。我们发现该平均年龄为3.14岁,这一数字远低于其他欧洲国家,尤其是英国。爱尔兰社区儿童的平均接种年龄为2.6岁。该疾病的繁殖率定义为社区中一名感染个体产生的二代病例的平均数量。据此,我们推断出为在爱尔兰根除麻疹所需的接种比例估计数,该比例在95%至96%之间。实际上,这一水平可能很难实现。

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