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自杀意念、亲子关系和不良童年经历:使用图形马尔可夫模型的交叉验证研究。

Suicidal ideation, parent-child relationships, and adverse childhood experiences: a cross-validation study using a Graphical Markov Model.

机构信息

Medical Psychology and Medical Sociology, Clinic for Psychosomatic Medicine and Psychotherapy, School of Medicine, Universitätsmedizin Mainz Johannes Gutenberg University, Duesbergweg 6, 55128 Mainz, Germany.

出版信息

Child Psychiatry Hum Dev. 2011 Apr;42(2):119-33. doi: 10.1007/s10578-010-0203-4.

Abstract

Suicide is one of the leading causes of death in many Western countries. An exploration of factors associated with suicidality may help to understand the mechanisms that lead to suicide. Two samples in Germany (n = 500 and n = 477) were examined via Internet regarding suicidality, depression, alcohol abuse, adverse childhood experiences, and parent-child relationships. A Graphical Markov Model was constructed from the first subsample, testing for main, quadratic and interaction effects. All effects in the model were cross-validated using the second subsample. Depression was found to be a strong predictor of suicidality; alcohol abuse was not a predictor. Both maternal and paternal love also predicted suicidality; the former had an indirect effect via depression and the latter a direct effect. Early experiences with violence showed both a direct and indirect association with suicidality. In addition to depression being a predictor for suicidality, various pathways connect suicidality with early childhood experiences.

摘要

自杀是许多西方国家的主要死亡原因之一。探索与自杀倾向相关的因素可以帮助理解导致自杀的机制。通过互联网,对德国的两个样本(n=500 和 n=477)进行了自杀倾向、抑郁、酗酒、不良的童年经历和亲子关系的调查。从第一个样本中构建了一个图形马尔可夫模型,检验了主要、二次和交互效应。使用第二个样本对模型中的所有效应进行了交叉验证。研究发现,抑郁是自杀倾向的一个强有力的预测因素;酗酒不是预测因素。母亲和父亲的爱也可以预测自杀倾向;前者通过抑郁产生间接影响,后者则产生直接影响。早期经历的暴力与自杀倾向既有直接关联,也有间接关联。除了抑郁是自杀倾向的一个预测因素外,自杀倾向还与儿童早期经历存在各种关联。

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